Transparent historical data

What Happens to Zcash After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?

Zcash has recorded 35 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.67% and 45.7% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: Binance USDโ“ˆ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ†’ ยท Backtest this rule โ†’

Outcome summary

Horizon90 days
Sample31
Median return+36.62%
Average return+51.72%
Positive outcomes64.5%
Best / worst+629.03% / -61.69%

Distribution of 90-day outcomes

-61.7% to +15.1%: 12+15.1% to +91.8%: 12+91.8% to +168.5%: 6+168.5% to +245.3%: 0+245.3% to +322.0%: 0+322.0% to +398.8%: 0+398.8% to +475.5%: 0+475.5% to +552.3%: 0+552.3% to +629.0%: 1
Return rangeOccurrences
-61.7% to +15.1%12
+15.1% to +91.8%12
+91.8% to +168.5%6
+168.5% to +245.3%0
+245.3% to +322.0%0
+322.0% to +398.8%0
+398.8% to +475.5%0
+475.5% to +552.3%0
+552.3% to +629.0%1

All forward horizons

Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.

HorizonSampleMedianAveragePositiveBestWorst
1 days 37 -1.90% 1.05% 45.9% 62.14% -26.05%
3 days 36 0.43% 3.62% 52.8% 72.10% -41.67%
7 days 35 -0.67% 4.55% 45.7% 72.57% -34.17%
14 days 34 8.55% 15.36% 55.9% 234.62% -49.69%
30 days 34 16.26% 29.28% 58.8% 364.07% -40.31%
90 days 31 36.62% 51.72% 64.5% 629.03% -61.69%

Historical occurrences

37 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only โ€” outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

DateTriggerPrice1d3d7d14d30d90d
2026-09-15 -0.01 $1163.69 -4.61% โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
2026-09-12 -0.01 $1164.47 -3.67% -0.07% โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
2026-09-05 -0.00 $1023.04 +0.28% +11.35% +13.82% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2026-07-26 -0.00 $485.20 +4.66% -4.07% -4.89% +4.67% +71.13% โ€”
2026-07-02 -0.00 $416.70 +4.20% +11.12% +11.80% +36.83% +9.73% โ€”
2026-06-24 -0.00 $415.70 +0.04% +0.73% -3.94% +16.38% +21.30% โ€”
2026-06-18 -0.03 $476.86 -4.47% -1.25% -12.79% -12.62% +14.77% +132.78%
2026-06-06 -0.05 $389.99 -7.14% +17.59% +5.57% +22.24% +18.44% +144.28%
2026-06-04 -0.05 $620.93 -26.05% -41.67% -34.17% -23.20% -25.81% +33.65%
2026-05-30 -0.00 $529.40 -0.23% +2.70% -26.33% -22.23% -28.98% +53.02%
2026-05-26 -0.01 $651.63 -12.56% -16.02% -16.57% -29.62% -36.18% +30.88%
2026-05-20 -0.01 $573.60 +17.30% +1.57% -0.67% +6.11% -20.58% -10.40%
2026-05-03 -0.01 $387.72 +6.50% +33.31% +53.38% +31.85% +40.22% +17.93%
2026-04-27 -0.01 $355.14 +0.05% -7.85% +16.27% +66.92% +60.44% +36.62%
2026-04-23 -0.01 $316.59 +8.26% +13.36% +3.38% +75.20% +84.02% +68.11%
2026-04-07 -0.02 $252.15 +27.61% +45.80% +46.12% +23.79% +119.96% +83.19%
2026-04-02 -0.04 $251.94 -4.37% -0.59% +28.52% +37.47% +52.78% +58.50%
2026-03-27 -0.01 $221.48 -2.65% -3.09% +8.78% +65.99% +62.03% +87.76%
2026-03-21 -0.00 $234.90 -7.75% -2.80% -8.21% -0.28% +28.32% +93.93%
2026-03-07 -0.01 $209.56 -5.94% +1.84% -0.88% +12.09% +17.75% +119.11%
2026-02-26 -0.01 $243.50 -2.12% -9.52% -0.10% -12.67% -11.46% +133.99%
2026-02-22 -0.00 $258.72 -10.30% -6.34% -14.84% -23.81% -11.75% +125.18%
2026-02-15 -0.02 $322.99 -7.98% -8.41% -19.90% -31.79% -14.59% +59.48%
2026-01-22 -0.01 $355.03 +2.70% +1.08% +4.28% -29.26% -27.32% -10.72%
2026-01-15 -0.03 $446.69 -7.47% -10.49% -20.52% -17.12% -40.31% -20.50%

Best 7-day cases

  1. 2025-10-01: +72.57%
  2. 2026-05-03: +53.38%
  3. 2025-10-23: +47.00%

Worst 7-day cases

  1. 2026-06-04: -34.17%
  2. 2026-05-30: -26.33%
  3. 2025-11-24: -25.10%

How this study works

An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โˆ’ 1) ร— 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

Read the full methodology ยท Review data sources

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