Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Zcash has recorded 35 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.67% and 45.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -26.1% to -16.3% | 1 |
| -16.3% to -6.5% | 8 |
| -6.5% to +3.3% | 17 |
| +3.3% to +13.1% | 8 |
| +13.1% to +22.9% | 1 |
| +22.9% to +32.7% | 1 |
| +32.7% to +42.5% | 0 |
| +42.5% to +52.3% | 0 |
| +52.3% to +62.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 37 | -1.90% | 1.05% | 45.9% | 62.14% | -26.05% |
| 3 days | 36 | 0.43% | 3.62% | 52.8% | 72.10% | -41.67% |
| 7 days | 35 | -0.67% | 4.55% | 45.7% | 72.57% | -34.17% |
| 14 days | 34 | 8.55% | 15.36% | 55.9% | 234.62% | -49.69% |
| 30 days | 34 | 16.26% | 29.28% | 58.8% | 364.07% | -40.31% |
| 90 days | 31 | 36.62% | 51.72% | 64.5% | 629.03% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
37 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | -0.01 | $1163.69 | -4.61% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-12 | -0.01 | $1164.47 | -3.67% | -0.07% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-05 | -0.00 | $1023.04 | +0.28% | +11.35% | +13.82% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-26 | -0.00 | $485.20 | +4.66% | -4.07% | -4.89% | +4.67% | +71.13% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -0.00 | $416.70 | +4.20% | +11.12% | +11.80% | +36.83% | +9.73% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -0.00 | $415.70 | +0.04% | +0.73% | -3.94% | +16.38% | +21.30% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -0.03 | $476.86 | -4.47% | -1.25% | -12.79% | -12.62% | +14.77% | +132.78% |
| 2026-06-06 | -0.05 | $389.99 | -7.14% | +17.59% | +5.57% | +22.24% | +18.44% | +144.28% |
| 2026-06-04 | -0.05 | $620.93 | -26.05% | -41.67% | -34.17% | -23.20% | -25.81% | +33.65% |
| 2026-05-30 | -0.00 | $529.40 | -0.23% | +2.70% | -26.33% | -22.23% | -28.98% | +53.02% |
| 2026-05-26 | -0.01 | $651.63 | -12.56% | -16.02% | -16.57% | -29.62% | -36.18% | +30.88% |
| 2026-05-20 | -0.01 | $573.60 | +17.30% | +1.57% | -0.67% | +6.11% | -20.58% | -10.40% |
| 2026-05-03 | -0.01 | $387.72 | +6.50% | +33.31% | +53.38% | +31.85% | +40.22% | +17.93% |
| 2026-04-27 | -0.01 | $355.14 | +0.05% | -7.85% | +16.27% | +66.92% | +60.44% | +36.62% |
| 2026-04-23 | -0.01 | $316.59 | +8.26% | +13.36% | +3.38% | +75.20% | +84.02% | +68.11% |
| 2026-04-07 | -0.02 | $252.15 | +27.61% | +45.80% | +46.12% | +23.79% | +119.96% | +83.19% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.04 | $251.94 | -4.37% | -0.59% | +28.52% | +37.47% | +52.78% | +58.50% |
| 2026-03-27 | -0.01 | $221.48 | -2.65% | -3.09% | +8.78% | +65.99% | +62.03% | +87.76% |
| 2026-03-21 | -0.00 | $234.90 | -7.75% | -2.80% | -8.21% | -0.28% | +28.32% | +93.93% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.01 | $209.56 | -5.94% | +1.84% | -0.88% | +12.09% | +17.75% | +119.11% |
| 2026-02-26 | -0.01 | $243.50 | -2.12% | -9.52% | -0.10% | -12.67% | -11.46% | +133.99% |
| 2026-02-22 | -0.00 | $258.72 | -10.30% | -6.34% | -14.84% | -23.81% | -11.75% | +125.18% |
| 2026-02-15 | -0.02 | $322.99 | -7.98% | -8.41% | -19.90% | -31.79% | -14.59% | +59.48% |
| 2026-01-22 | -0.01 | $355.03 | +2.70% | +1.08% | +4.28% | -29.26% | -27.32% | -10.72% |
| 2026-01-15 | -0.03 | $446.69 | -7.47% | -10.49% | -20.52% | -17.12% | -40.31% | -20.50% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-01: +72.57%
- 2026-05-03: +53.38%
- 2025-10-23: +47.00%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-04: -34.17%
- 2026-05-30: -26.33%
- 2025-11-24: -25.10%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.