Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Zcash

37 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 27 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (10 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades25
Win rate48.0%
Average return / trade+5.70%
Compounded total return+114.98%
Max drawdown-64.10%
Buy & hold, same period+1471.36%

Hypothetical growth of $100

2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-01 2025-10-08 $74.1061 $127.8815 +72.57% 172.57
2025-10-16 2025-10-23 $229.8183 $238.4702 +3.76% 179.06
2025-10-23 2025-10-30 $238.4702 $350.5504 +47.00% 263.22
2025-10-30 2025-11-06 $350.5504 $479.9683 +36.92% 360.40
2025-11-15 2025-11-22 $608.1992 $547.7121 -9.95% 324.55
2025-11-24 2025-12-01 $572.4570 $428.7592 -25.10% 243.09
2025-12-04 2025-12-11 $339.0926 $404.0058 +19.14% 289.62
2025-12-11 2025-12-18 $404.0058 $376.6127 -6.78% 269.98
2025-12-30 2026-01-06 $540.2571 $503.3604 -6.83% 251.54
2026-01-15 2026-01-22 $446.6909 $355.0290 -20.52% 199.93
2026-01-22 2026-01-29 $355.0290 $370.2155 +4.28% 208.48
2026-02-15 2026-02-22 $322.9946 $258.7156 -19.90% 166.99
2026-02-22 2026-03-01 $258.7156 $220.3277 -14.84% 142.21
2026-03-07 2026-03-14 $209.5641 $207.7245 -0.88% 140.96
2026-03-21 2026-03-28 $234.9022 $215.6057 -8.21% 129.38
2026-04-02 2026-04-09 $251.9365 $323.7983 +28.52% 166.29
2026-04-23 2026-04-30 $316.5853 $327.2712 +3.38% 171.90
2026-05-03 2026-05-10 $387.7181 $594.6863 +53.38% 263.66
2026-05-20 2026-05-27 $573.6006 $569.7732 -0.67% 261.90
2026-05-30 2026-06-06 $529.3962 $389.9925 -26.33% 192.94
2026-06-06 2026-06-13 $389.9925 $411.6969 +5.57% 203.68
2026-06-18 2026-06-25 $476.8604 $415.8494 -12.79% 177.62
2026-07-02 2026-07-09 $416.6990 $465.8796 +11.80% 198.58
2026-07-26 2026-08-02 $485.1998 $461.4651 -4.89% 188.87
2026-09-05 2026-09-12 $1023.0378 $1164.4720 +13.82% 214.98

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Zcash ยท Read the full methodology