Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid When Bitcoin Rises 10% in a Day?
Hyperliquid has recorded 1 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.42% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 1 | -2.84% | -2.84% | 0.0% | -2.84% | -2.84% |
| 3 days | 1 | -3.22% | -3.22% | 0.0% | -3.22% | -3.22% |
| 7 days | 1 | -2.42% | -2.42% | 0.0% | -2.42% | -2.42% |
| 14 days | 1 | -6.14% | -6.14% | 0.0% | -6.14% | -6.14% |
| 30 days | 1 | -4.92% | -4.92% | 0.0% | -4.92% | -4.92% |
| 90 days | 1 | 31.25% | 31.25% | 100.0% | 31.25% | 31.25% |
Historical occurrences
1 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | 11.94 | $32.40 | -2.84% | -3.22% | -2.42% | -6.14% | -4.92% | +31.25% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-07: -2.42%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-07: -2.42%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.