Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
BNB has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.23% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 4 | 1.25% | 1.06% | 75.0% | 5.17% | -3.45% |
| 3 days | 4 | -1.35% | -1.33% | 50.0% | 4.17% | -6.79% |
| 7 days | 4 | -3.23% | -3.76% | 50.0% | 3.31% | -11.90% |
| 14 days | 4 | -11.73% | -9.38% | 25.0% | 0.16% | -14.22% |
| 30 days | 4 | -18.03% | -17.15% | 0.0% | -9.95% | -22.58% |
| 90 days | 4 | -17.02% | -20.93% | 0.0% | -14.23% | -35.47% |
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | -0.02 | $991.91 | -3.45% | -6.79% | -8.66% | -12.84% | -9.95% | -35.47% |
| 2025-10-31 | -0.01 | $1077.74 | +0.91% | +0.54% | -11.90% | -14.22% | -18.98% | -16.30% |
| 2025-10-23 | -0.01 | $1072.08 | +5.17% | +4.17% | +3.31% | -10.63% | -22.58% | -17.74% |
| 2025-10-19 | -0.00 | $1092.70 | +1.60% | -3.24% | +2.20% | +0.16% | -17.08% | -14.23% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-23: +3.31%
- 2025-10-19: +2.20%
- 2025-11-11: -8.66%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-31: -11.90%
- 2025-11-11: -8.66%
- 2025-10-19: +2.20%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.