Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for BNB

4 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 3 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades3
Win rate33.3%
Average return / trade-6.12%
Compounded total return-17.75%
Max drawdown-19.52%
Buy & hold, same period-17.08%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-19 2025-10-26 $1092.6952 $1116.7335 +2.20% 102.20
2025-10-31 2025-11-07 $1077.7429 $949.5353 -11.90% 90.04
2025-11-11 2025-11-18 $991.9074 $906.0242 -8.66% 82.25

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for BNB ยท Read the full methodology