Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After Negative Funding?
BNB has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.89% and 11.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -12.8% to -10.9% | 1 |
| -10.9% to -9.0% | 0 |
| -9.0% to -7.1% | 0 |
| -7.1% to -5.3% | 3 |
| -5.3% to -3.4% | 1 |
| -3.4% to -1.5% | 2 |
| -1.5% to +0.4% | 1 |
| +0.4% to +2.2% | 0 |
| +2.2% to +4.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | -1.91% | -0.21% | 33.3% | 14.63% | -6.41% |
| 3 days | 9 | -3.07% | -1.15% | 33.3% | 6.45% | -5.31% |
| 7 days | 9 | -3.89% | -4.11% | 11.1% | 4.13% | -12.79% |
| 14 days | 9 | -5.90% | -5.39% | 11.1% | 8.97% | -15.40% |
| 30 days | 9 | -7.52% | -7.17% | 33.3% | 6.30% | -21.62% |
| 90 days | 9 | -17.26% | -16.81% | 11.1% | 5.84% | -35.07% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | -0.00 | $628.08 | -2.46% | -3.56% | -7.00% | -3.94% | +0.09% | -10.21% |
| 2026-03-22 | -0.01 | $624.63 | +0.31% | +2.19% | -2.23% | -4.89% | +0.76% | -7.06% |
| 2026-03-19 | -0.01 | $651.61 | -1.91% | -4.14% | -0.58% | -6.25% | -1.24% | -7.24% |
| 2026-02-19 | -0.01 | $604.12 | +0.50% | +3.58% | +4.13% | +8.97% | +6.30% | +5.84% |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.00 | $953.38 | -3.02% | -2.21% | -5.99% | -6.42% | -7.52% | -35.04% |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.00 | $996.16 | -0.43% | -4.29% | -7.04% | -15.40% | -9.92% | -35.07% |
| 2025-10-28 | -0.01 | $1138.23 | -3.08% | -5.31% | -12.79% | -12.86% | -21.62% | -24.09% |
| 2025-10-17 | -0.02 | $1145.37 | -6.41% | -3.07% | -1.56% | -5.90% | -18.61% | -17.26% |
| 2025-10-12 | -0.01 | $1136.91 | +14.63% | +6.45% | -3.89% | -1.77% | -12.75% | -21.16% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-19: +4.13%
- 2026-03-19: -0.58%
- 2025-10-17: -1.56%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-28: -12.79%
- 2025-11-10: -7.04%
- 2026-03-27: -7.00%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.