Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash When Bitcoin Rises 3% in a Day?
Zcash has recorded 20 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.33% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -42.4% to -11.4% | 7 |
| -11.4% to +19.6% | 4 |
| +19.6% to +50.7% | 2 |
| +50.7% to +81.7% | 4 |
| +81.7% to +112.7% | 0 |
| +112.7% to +143.8% | 0 |
| +143.8% to +174.8% | 0 |
| +174.8% to +205.8% | 0 |
| +205.8% to +236.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 20 | 0.70% | 2.16% | 60.0% | 21.14% | -7.07% |
| 3 days | 20 | -1.34% | 3.85% | 50.0% | 42.27% | -18.97% |
| 7 days | 20 | 0.33% | 5.28% | 50.0% | 46.13% | -35.59% |
| 14 days | 19 | 2.16% | 8.83% | 52.6% | 91.27% | -23.26% |
| 30 days | 18 | 11.35% | 27.39% | 55.6% | 236.87% | -42.43% |
| 90 days | 17 | 106.15% | 90.44% | 76.5% | 339.38% | -53.97% |
Historical occurrences
20 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 5.13 | $952.67 | +7.39% | +28.81% | +13.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 7.12 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 4.34 | $564.14 | +1.07% | -2.99% | -5.66% | -17.49% | -13.03% | — |
| 2026-06-12 | 3.38 | $427.99 | -3.81% | +10.40% | +6.44% | -2.72% | +18.83% | +190.73% |
| 2026-06-08 | 3.97 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-04-14 | 5.41 | $368.43 | -3.61% | -7.42% | -15.28% | -3.56% | +42.32% | +44.75% |
| 2026-04-08 | 4.35 | $321.78 | +0.63% | +16.58% | +10.36% | -1.49% | +78.57% | +40.59% |
| 2026-03-24 | 4.50 | $228.32 | +5.90% | -2.99% | -1.27% | +10.44% | +38.66% | +90.10% |
| 2026-03-10 | 3.62 | $213.43 | +3.46% | -2.80% | +29.25% | +6.98% | +51.71% | +106.15% |
| 2026-03-05 | 6.54 | $243.26 | -7.07% | -18.97% | -12.58% | +2.16% | -3.71% | +150.20% |
| 2026-03-03 | 4.54 | $223.47 | -1.29% | +1.16% | -4.49% | +23.45% | +12.74% | +154.81% |
| 2026-02-26 | 5.89 | $243.50 | -2.12% | -9.52% | -0.10% | -12.67% | -11.46% | +133.99% |
| 2026-02-14 | 3.89 | $266.64 | +21.14% | +10.12% | -3.23% | -18.02% | -13.52% | +110.24% |
| 2026-02-07 | 11.94 | $240.10 | -0.13% | +0.11% | +11.05% | +7.46% | -17.76% | +139.31% |
| 2026-01-14 | 4.64 | $404.71 | +10.37% | +1.35% | -13.63% | -1.69% | -42.43% | -8.97% |
| 2025-12-20 | 3.09 | $444.39 | +0.57% | -2.92% | +0.76% | +9.94% | -17.69% | -47.23% |
| 2025-12-03 | 5.81 | $314.05 | +7.98% | +14.62% | +37.93% | +28.56% | +67.25% | -28.84% |
| 2025-11-27 | 3.66 | $526.44 | -7.06% | -12.62% | -35.59% | -23.26% | -14.94% | -53.97% |
| 2025-10-13 | 3.98 | $261.29 | -4.41% | -12.04% | -9.85% | +25.35% | +70.68% | +43.10% |
| 2025-10-02 | 4.25 | $120.15 | +9.20% | +30.95% | +46.13% | +91.27% | +236.87% | +339.38% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-02: +46.13%
- 2026-08-20: +44.60%
- 2025-12-03: +37.93%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-27: -35.59%
- 2026-04-14: -15.28%
- 2026-01-14: -13.63%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.