Transparent historical data

What Happens to Zcash After 5 Consecutive Red Days?

Zcash has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 8.98% and 75.0% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ†’ ยท Backtest this rule โ†’

Outcome summary

Horizon1 days
Sample4
Median return-0.78%
Average return-0.50%
Positive outcomes50.0%
Best / worst+6.29% / -6.74%

Distribution of 1-day outcomes

Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.

All forward horizons

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HorizonSampleMedianAveragePositiveBestWorst
1 days 4 -0.78% -0.50% 50.0% 6.29% -6.74%
3 days 4 4.48% 5.54% 75.0% 15.16% -1.94%
7 days 4 8.98% 7.51% 75.0% 18.86% -6.79%
14 days 4 9.75% 20.90% 50.0% 68.14% -4.02%
30 days 4 66.75% 80.88% 75.0% 225.72% -35.71%
90 days 3 69.31% 62.68% 100.0% 118.40% 0.33%

Historical occurrences

4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only โ€” outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

DateTriggerPrice1d3d7d14d30d90d
2026-07-24 -2.12 $504.22 -3.17% +0.71% -6.79% -0.45% +59.30% โ€”
2026-04-19 -1.76 $323.24 -6.74% -1.94% +11.03% +19.95% +74.21% +69.31%
2026-01-11 -10.43 $373.89 +1.61% +8.24% +6.94% -4.02% -35.71% +0.33%
2025-10-17 -11.00 $204.53 +6.29% +15.16% +18.86% +68.14% +225.72% +118.40%

Best 7-day cases

  1. 2025-10-17: +18.86%
  2. 2026-04-19: +11.03%
  3. 2026-01-11: +6.94%

Worst 7-day cases

  1. 2026-07-24: -6.79%
  2. 2026-01-11: +6.94%
  3. 2026-04-19: +11.03%

How this study works

An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โˆ’ 1) ร— 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

Read the full methodology ยท Review data sources

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