Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
Zcash has recorded 19 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.48% and 52.6% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -29.4% to -21.9% | 1 |
| -21.9% to -14.4% | 1 |
| -14.4% to -7.0% | 4 |
| -7.0% to +0.5% | 4 |
| +0.5% to +8.0% | 3 |
| +8.0% to +15.5% | 3 |
| +15.5% to +23.0% | 1 |
| +23.0% to +30.4% | 1 |
| +30.4% to +37.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 19 | 0.17% | 0.32% | 57.9% | 21.49% | -17.87% |
| 3 days | 19 | -4.53% | -2.08% | 31.6% | 18.47% | -13.45% |
| 7 days | 19 | 0.48% | 1.83% | 52.6% | 37.93% | -29.40% |
| 14 days | 19 | 2.75% | 12.19% | 57.9% | 160.75% | -34.16% |
| 30 days | 19 | 6.91% | 30.24% | 52.6% | 381.56% | -43.18% |
| 90 days | 17 | 63.73% | 84.43% | 64.7% | 693.47% | -50.29% |
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | -1.89 | $532.22 | -3.21% | -8.26% | -12.55% | -5.02% | +6.91% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | -4.47 | $455.55 | +4.65% | -4.72% | -8.60% | -4.69% | +22.58% | — |
| 2026-06-07 | -7.14 | $362.16 | +21.49% | +18.47% | +16.08% | +30.02% | +24.92% | +182.48% |
| 2026-05-28 | -5.00 | $541.26 | +1.11% | -2.41% | +14.72% | -24.48% | -22.64% | +41.89% |
| 2026-05-12 | -6.19 | $556.13 | +2.65% | +0.80% | +1.26% | +17.17% | -26.50% | -8.40% |
| 2026-04-17 | -1.52 | $341.08 | -3.53% | -11.62% | +0.48% | +2.75% | +49.88% | +67.17% |
| 2026-03-28 | -2.65 | $215.61 | -1.14% | +4.55% | +8.64% | +73.99% | +64.72% | +93.12% |
| 2026-03-20 | -5.64 | $234.50 | +0.17% | -7.15% | -5.55% | +2.74% | +37.84% | +103.35% |
| 2026-03-08 | -5.94 | $197.12 | +0.17% | +12.02% | +7.71% | +9.94% | +27.92% | +97.85% |
| 2026-02-21 | -1.33 | $258.02 | +0.27% | -7.93% | -15.28% | -18.78% | -15.61% | +157.18% |
| 2026-02-05 | -7.24 | $251.16 | -17.87% | -4.53% | -4.36% | +4.77% | -16.56% | +105.79% |
| 2026-01-31 | -3.66 | $340.09 | -10.96% | -13.45% | -29.40% | -21.60% | -37.31% | +3.05% |
| 2026-01-18 | -2.52 | $399.84 | -8.52% | -12.58% | -10.25% | -24.26% | -26.56% | -17.71% |
| 2026-01-09 | -10.08 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-12-24 | -3.26 | $417.36 | +7.43% | +7.29% | +26.49% | +20.10% | -12.64% | -45.29% |
| 2025-12-03 | -8.95 | $314.05 | +7.98% | +14.62% | +37.93% | +28.56% | +67.25% | -28.84% |
| 2025-11-23 | -5.24 | $519.01 | +10.30% | -1.67% | -11.36% | -34.16% | -16.87% | -50.29% |
| 2025-10-15 | -0.72 | $247.97 | -7.32% | -12.33% | +6.16% | +27.42% | +108.82% | +63.73% |
| 2025-09-20 | -3.32 | $48.91 | +3.55% | -0.68% | +14.75% | +160.75% | +381.56% | +693.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-03: +37.93%
- 2025-12-24: +26.49%
- 2026-06-07: +16.08%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -29.40%
- 2026-02-21: -15.28%
- 2026-07-22: -12.55%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.