Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 5% One-Day Drop?
Zcash has recorded 53 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.69% and 47.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -43.8% to -6.7% | 19 |
| -6.7% to +30.4% | 21 |
| +30.4% to +67.5% | 7 |
| +67.5% to +104.5% | 3 |
| +104.5% to +141.6% | 0 |
| +141.6% to +178.7% | 0 |
| +178.7% to +215.8% | 0 |
| +215.8% to +252.9% | 1 |
| +252.9% to +290.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 55 | 0.79% | -0.29% | 56.4% | 13.87% | -19.55% |
| 3 days | 54 | -1.13% | 0.64% | 48.1% | 35.98% | -25.33% |
| 7 days | 53 | -3.69% | 5.13% | 47.2% | 139.50% | -33.55% |
| 14 days | 52 | 0.31% | 14.56% | 50.0% | 289.97% | -43.79% |
| 30 days | 51 | 0.08% | 26.53% | 51.0% | 402.53% | -48.84% |
| 90 days | 45 | 9.41% | 62.13% | 53.3% | 808.88% | -59.80% |
Historical occurrences
55 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -5.24 | $1062.96 | +9.48% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -13.22 | $1079.81 | +7.84% | -1.56% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | -7.17 | $1139.14 | +3.38% | -5.21% | +2.16% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | -7.50 | $768.01 | +6.30% | +4.34% | +8.05% | +53.34% | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -6.20 | $476.32 | -2.28% | -1.33% | +1.41% | +4.07% | +71.39% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | -8.18 | $523.56 | +4.53% | +4.63% | -3.69% | -10.24% | -6.87% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -7.10 | $495.42 | +13.87% | +5.68% | +9.50% | -3.86% | -1.14% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -5.66 | $395.03 | -4.83% | +1.09% | +17.22% | +28.74% | +20.58% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -5.89 | $415.70 | +0.04% | +0.73% | -3.94% | +16.38% | +21.30% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -7.82 | $434.04 | +1.77% | -4.19% | -13.38% | +6.42% | +22.62% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -5.53 | $476.86 | -4.47% | -1.25% | -12.79% | -12.62% | +14.77% | +132.78% |
| 2026-06-10 | -6.44 | $429.07 | -4.73% | -4.05% | +17.64% | -3.12% | +12.15% | +165.49% |
| 2026-06-05 | -26.05 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-05-27 | -12.56 | $569.77 | -5.00% | -7.09% | +6.82% | -24.70% | -26.92% | +45.73% |
| 2026-05-23 | -12.21 | $582.58 | +8.22% | +11.85% | -9.13% | -33.06% | -25.50% | -2.34% |
| 2026-05-16 | -8.11 | $515.13 | -0.76% | +9.32% | +13.09% | +2.77% | -8.27% | -4.75% |
| 2026-05-14 | -8.15 | $524.35 | +6.91% | -2.51% | +28.31% | +3.22% | -21.48% | -8.33% |
| 2026-05-12 | -6.19 | $556.13 | +2.65% | +0.80% | +1.26% | +17.17% | -26.50% | -8.40% |
| 2026-04-29 | -5.45 | $335.93 | -2.58% | +14.58% | +53.86% | +69.93% | +62.91% | +41.79% |
| 2026-04-20 | -6.74 | $301.44 | +3.55% | +5.03% | +17.82% | +36.99% | +90.29% | +85.25% |
| 2026-03-22 | -7.75 | $216.71 | +0.48% | +11.57% | -1.64% | +15.57% | +44.04% | +119.99% |
| 2026-03-19 | -8.86 | $248.51 | -5.64% | -12.80% | -6.87% | +1.38% | +32.40% | +103.11% |
| 2026-03-06 | -7.07 | $226.06 | -7.30% | -12.65% | -8.23% | +3.73% | +10.79% | +174.67% |
| 2026-02-28 | -8.29 | $218.59 | +0.80% | +2.23% | -4.13% | -4.97% | -1.80% | +150.36% |
| 2026-02-23 | -10.30 | $232.07 | +2.37% | +4.93% | -8.13% | -14.91% | +4.18% | +171.67% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-26: +139.50%
- 2025-10-07: +58.96%
- 2026-04-29: +53.86%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-25: -33.55%
- 2026-01-29: -32.16%
- 2025-11-28: -25.00%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.