Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
Zcash has recorded 21 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.27% and 47.6% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -50.3% to -28.0% | 2 |
| -28.0% to -5.7% | 2 |
| -5.7% to +16.6% | 1 |
| +16.6% to +38.9% | 1 |
| +38.9% to +61.2% | 4 |
| +61.2% to +83.5% | 1 |
| +83.5% to +105.8% | 4 |
| +105.8% to +128.1% | 1 |
| +128.1% to +150.4% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 22 | -0.23% | 0.23% | 50.0% | 14.51% | -15.07% |
| 3 days | 21 | -2.41% | -0.44% | 33.3% | 19.12% | -29.92% |
| 7 days | 21 | -1.27% | -0.05% | 47.6% | 24.59% | -31.44% |
| 14 days | 21 | 2.77% | 2.96% | 57.1% | 86.26% | -34.16% |
| 30 days | 21 | 0.84% | 17.86% | 52.4% | 177.67% | -43.18% |
| 90 days | 17 | 51.72% | 48.45% | 70.6% | 150.36% | -50.29% |
Historical occurrences
22 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -13.38 | $1062.96 | +9.48% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -12.20 | $476.32 | -2.28% | -1.33% | +1.41% | +4.07% | +71.39% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -10.78 | $488.26 | -0.63% | -2.45% | -6.36% | +4.66% | +74.66% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | -12.16 | $418.74 | -5.66% | -2.90% | +10.01% | +18.89% | +21.27% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | -14.81 | $441.73 | -5.89% | -5.74% | -7.95% | +2.42% | +16.62% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -16.10 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-05-31 | -16.22 | $528.20 | +7.80% | +15.23% | -31.44% | -20.41% | -23.02% | +51.72% |
| 2026-05-28 | -19.55 | $541.26 | +1.11% | -2.41% | +14.72% | -24.48% | -22.64% | +41.89% |
| 2026-05-16 | -15.92 | $515.13 | -0.76% | +9.32% | +13.09% | +2.77% | -8.27% | -4.75% |
| 2026-04-18 | -12.29 | $329.04 | -1.76% | -5.14% | +9.28% | +16.98% | +62.85% | +59.12% |
| 2026-03-24 | -17.24 | $228.32 | +5.90% | -2.99% | -1.27% | +10.44% | +38.66% | +90.10% |
| 2026-03-12 | -12.58 | $212.66 | -2.45% | -0.17% | +16.86% | +8.83% | +76.40% | +101.76% |
| 2026-03-08 | -10.53 | $197.12 | +0.17% | +12.02% | +7.71% | +9.94% | +27.92% | +97.85% |
| 2026-02-28 | -15.28 | $218.59 | +0.80% | +2.23% | -4.13% | -4.97% | -1.80% | +150.36% |
| 2026-02-22 | -19.90 | $258.72 | -10.30% | -6.34% | -14.84% | -23.81% | -11.75% | +125.18% |
| 2026-02-03 | -19.70 | $294.34 | -8.01% | -29.92% | -18.33% | -0.24% | -17.35% | +40.29% |
| 2026-02-01 | -15.62 | $302.82 | +0.79% | -10.59% | -20.81% | +6.66% | -26.21% | +27.10% |
| 2026-01-21 | -13.63 | $349.54 | +1.57% | +4.96% | +13.83% | -22.54% | -25.19% | -10.70% |
| 2026-01-09 | -19.65 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-12-19 | -13.96 | $388.10 | +14.51% | +13.77% | +12.83% | +35.33% | +3.02% | -35.97% |
| 2025-11-23 | -22.09 | $519.01 | +10.30% | -1.67% | -11.36% | -34.16% | -16.87% | -50.29% |
| 2025-10-19 | -24.60 | $220.99 | +6.58% | +19.12% | +24.59% | +86.26% | +177.67% | +85.62% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-19: +24.59%
- 2026-03-12: +16.86%
- 2026-05-28: +14.72%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-31: -31.44%
- 2026-02-01: -20.81%
- 2026-02-03: -18.33%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.