Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 10% Seven-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 10% seven-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
22 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 16 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | 2025-10-26 | $220.9870 | $275.3177 | +24.59% | 124.59 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2025-11-30 | $519.0073 | $460.0247 | -11.36% | 110.43 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $388.0998 | $437.8740 | +12.83% | 124.59 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $422.0000 | $413.3106 | -2.06% | 122.02 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $349.5431 | $397.8827 | +13.83% | 138.90 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $302.8211 | $239.7914 | -20.81% | 109.99 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026-03-01 | $258.7156 | $220.3277 | -14.84% | 93.67 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $197.1186 | $212.3095 | +7.71% | 100.89 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $228.3173 | $225.4206 | -1.27% | 99.61 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $329.0389 | $359.5718 | +9.28% | 108.85 |
| 2026-05-16 | 2026-05-23 | $515.1261 | $582.5787 | +13.09% | 123.10 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $541.2592 | $620.9294 | +14.72% | 141.22 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $459.1723 | $427.9931 | -6.79% | 131.63 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $441.7266 | $406.6092 | -7.95% | 121.17 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $488.2650 | $457.2306 | -6.36% | 113.47 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.