Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
XRP has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.07% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -6.8% to -4.1% | 1 |
| -4.1% to -1.4% | 2 |
| -1.4% to +1.2% | 0 |
| +1.2% to +3.9% | 1 |
| +3.9% to +6.6% | 0 |
| +6.6% to +9.2% | 1 |
| +9.2% to +11.9% | 0 |
| +11.9% to +14.6% | 0 |
| +14.6% to +17.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $1.15 | +1.12% | -5.02% | +2.68% | -2.67% | -3.71% | +22.29% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $1.41 | -0.99% | +0.73% | -5.57% | -6.76% | +0.86% | -19.66% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $1.35 | +1.25% | +2.20% | +7.63% | +3.26% | +2.00% | -19.33% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $1.36 | +2.68% | +5.40% | -0.54% | +7.05% | -1.70% | -1.65% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $1.21 | +20.47% | +18.78% | +13.48% | +17.24% | +15.08% | +17.82% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $2.24 | -0.60% | -3.67% | -13.11% | -2.84% | -11.75% | -38.63% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +13.48%
- 2026-03-09: +7.63%
- 2026-06-08: +2.68%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -13.11%
- 2026-03-22: -5.57%
- 2026-03-02: -0.54%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.