Transparent historical data
What Happens to TRON After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
TRON has recorded 59 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.38% and 54.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -20.4% to -14.7% | 5 |
| -14.7% to -9.1% | 2 |
| -9.1% to -3.4% | 7 |
| -3.4% to +2.3% | 11 |
| +2.3% to +8.0% | 7 |
| +8.0% to +13.7% | 9 |
| +13.7% to +19.4% | 1 |
| +19.4% to +25.1% | 3 |
| +25.1% to +30.7% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
59 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 0.01 | $0.34 | +1.10% | -0.52% | -2.06% | +0.65% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.93% | +2.97% | +0.52% | -2.78% | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.01% | +1.01% | +3.94% | +1.50% | +0.56% | — |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.31% | -0.75% | -0.67% | +0.40% | +1.50% | — |
| 2026-08-03 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.64% | +0.20% | +0.97% | +1.38% | -1.31% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.59% | +0.87% | +0.52% | +2.04% | +3.14% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.59% | +1.04% | -0.07% | -0.54% | +4.74% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.01 | $0.33 | -0.18% | -1.83% | -2.32% | +0.12% | -0.18% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +1.14% | +0.43% | -1.19% | +0.16% | -0.25% | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 0.01 | $0.32 | +0.60% | +1.96% | +2.20% | -0.17% | +1.04% | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 0.01 | $0.33 | -1.05% | -1.83% | -3.42% | +0.40% | +1.13% | — |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.01 | $0.35 | -2.21% | -5.18% | -6.95% | -8.42% | -10.26% | -2.92% |
| 2026-05-24 | 0.01 | $0.36 | +0.73% | +3.42% | -4.11% | -10.64% | -7.99% | -5.33% |
| 2026-05-21 | 0.01 | $0.36 | +1.68% | +1.04% | +2.44% | -7.26% | -9.84% | -7.32% |
| 2026-05-14 | 0.01 | $0.35 | +1.18% | +1.59% | +2.71% | +5.21% | -9.80% | -4.17% |
| 2026-05-12 | 0.01 | $0.35 | -0.58% | +0.74% | +1.27% | +5.83% | -8.57% | -6.08% |
| 2026-05-03 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +2.50% | +4.46% | +6.10% | +7.59% | +4.04% | -1.28% |
| 2026-04-18 | 0.01 | $0.33 | +0.51% | +0.36% | -1.36% | -0.28% | +8.38% | -1.46% |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.01 | $0.31 | -1.02% | +0.70% | +3.34% | +4.86% | +2.77% | +4.54% |
| 2026-03-24 | 0.01 | $0.31 | -0.43% | +1.30% | +4.01% | +5.96% | +7.22% | +6.47% |
| 2026-03-21 | 0.01 | $0.31 | +0.43% | -0.72% | +0.38% | +5.33% | +6.28% | +3.49% |
| 2026-03-17 | 0.01 | $0.30 | +3.92% | +2.74% | +4.08% | +8.25% | +10.74% | +8.83% |
| 2026-03-14 | 0.01 | $0.29 | +1.47% | +0.66% | +5.53% | +5.93% | +9.47% | +7.88% |
| 2026-03-11 | 0.01 | $0.29 | +1.98% | +2.72% | +7.46% | +7.16% | +15.90% | +14.33% |
| 2026-03-09 | 0.01 | $0.29 | -1.34% | +0.66% | +3.15% | +7.35% | +12.49% | +11.96% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-11: +7.46%
- 2026-05-03: +6.10%
- 2026-03-14: +5.53%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-21: -7.55%
- 2026-06-01: -6.95%
- 2025-11-16: -6.94%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.