Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 3% One-Day Rise?
Sui has recorded 47 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.86% and 36.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -35.3% to -28.7% | 3 |
| -28.7% to -22.0% | 3 |
| -22.0% to -15.3% | 3 |
| -15.3% to -8.6% | 9 |
| -8.6% to -2.0% | 13 |
| -2.0% to +4.7% | 7 |
| +4.7% to +11.4% | 5 |
| +11.4% to +18.1% | 0 |
| +18.1% to +24.8% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 47 | -0.29% | 0.24% | 42.6% | 9.33% | -6.79% |
| 3 days | 47 | -2.31% | -0.85% | 42.6% | 26.06% | -23.06% |
| 7 days | 47 | -2.86% | -2.69% | 36.2% | 27.94% | -21.21% |
| 14 days | 45 | -6.68% | -6.90% | 26.7% | 24.76% | -35.34% |
| 30 days | 43 | -10.35% | -15.33% | 16.3% | 25.67% | -49.76% |
| 90 days | 37 | -34.30% | -31.25% | 10.8% | 19.35% | -60.00% |
Historical occurrences
47 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 5.23 | $0.79 | +2.09% | +2.05% | -8.81% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | 3.38 | $0.75 | +5.01% | +6.57% | +3.53% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | 4.27 | $0.85 | -5.99% | -9.71% | -16.35% | -4.51% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 8.32 | $0.71 | +3.95% | +15.52% | +8.75% | +5.71% | — | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 5.62 | $0.76 | -0.94% | -2.92% | +1.23% | -9.17% | -9.59% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 3.02 | $0.74 | -1.33% | -2.31% | +0.17% | -3.79% | -7.09% | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 4.73 | $0.77 | -1.03% | -2.58% | -4.00% | -3.84% | -10.42% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 3.63 | $0.71 | +2.76% | +6.51% | -0.58% | +5.60% | -4.68% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 3.05 | $0.70 | -1.62% | +4.76% | +6.89% | +2.89% | -2.21% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 3.70 | $0.72 | -2.09% | -4.92% | -2.44% | +4.28% | +6.37% | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 4.56 | $0.80 | -1.21% | -4.47% | -13.67% | -15.25% | -5.08% | -9.69% |
| 2026-06-12 | 3.77 | $0.75 | -0.43% | +6.46% | -3.32% | -9.39% | -3.37% | +2.42% |
| 2026-06-08 | 5.52 | $0.76 | -0.30% | -4.04% | +6.01% | -8.49% | -3.86% | +4.98% |
| 2026-05-22 | 4.07 | $1.12 | -6.79% | -8.11% | -17.21% | -31.69% | -36.41% | -37.10% |
| 2026-05-09 | 5.54 | $1.02 | +4.81% | +26.06% | +7.47% | +2.26% | -25.95% | -34.30% |
| 2026-05-06 | 4.08 | $0.97 | +2.78% | +5.77% | +27.94% | +8.69% | -20.73% | -28.58% |
| 2026-04-17 | 4.11 | $1.00 | -0.21% | -7.67% | -5.42% | -9.21% | +6.05% | -24.55% |
| 2026-04-14 | 6.56 | $0.96 | -2.74% | +4.09% | -1.69% | -2.61% | +25.67% | -23.44% |
| 2026-04-08 | 10.24 | $0.96 | -5.00% | -1.89% | -2.86% | -1.32% | +0.70% | -22.12% |
| 2026-03-24 | 4.11 | $0.98 | -0.29% | -2.72% | -11.87% | -10.85% | -3.46% | -29.22% |
| 2026-03-15 | 3.37 | $1.05 | +0.99% | +1.43% | -6.31% | -17.86% | -8.18% | -28.27% |
| 2026-03-13 | 3.82 | $1.02 | -0.39% | +3.99% | -2.41% | -6.32% | -7.39% | -28.52% |
| 2026-03-10 | 4.93 | $0.97 | +1.94% | +5.10% | +12.35% | +1.22% | -5.50% | -21.71% |
| 2026-03-05 | 4.46 | $0.98 | +0.43% | -4.72% | +0.36% | +3.28% | -10.35% | -17.29% |
| 2026-02-26 | 10.75 | $0.99 | -2.33% | -6.43% | -1.66% | -1.30% | -11.24% | +0.79% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-06: +27.94%
- 2026-01-02: +23.40%
- 2025-12-28: +14.71%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-14: -21.21%
- 2026-01-27: -20.38%
- 2025-11-08: -19.01%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.