Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
47 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 31 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (16 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-18 | $3.6205 | $3.7773 | +4.33% | 104.33 |
| 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-25 | $3.7773 | $3.3616 | -11.01% | 92.85 |
| 2025-09-29 | 2025-10-06 | $3.2768 | $3.5625 | +8.72% | 100.94 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $2.8096 | $2.5810 | -8.14% | 92.73 |
| 2025-10-20 | 2025-10-27 | $2.5810 | $2.6761 | +3.68% | 96.15 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $2.6761 | $2.3551 | -11.99% | 84.62 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $2.1502 | $1.7415 | -19.01% | 68.53 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $1.6671 | $1.5618 | -6.31% | 64.21 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $1.6283 | $1.6587 | +1.87% | 65.41 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $1.4809 | $1.3968 | -5.68% | 61.69 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $1.4514 | $1.6649 | +14.71% | 70.77 |
| 2026-01-06 | 2026-01-13 | $1.9065 | $1.7751 | -6.89% | 65.89 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $1.8951 | $1.4932 | -21.21% | 51.92 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $1.4709 | $1.1711 | -20.38% | 41.33 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $1.1711 | $0.9638 | -17.70% | 34.02 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $0.9944 | $0.9842 | -1.03% | 33.67 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $0.9921 | $0.9756 | -1.66% | 33.11 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $0.9756 | $0.9791 | +0.36% | 33.23 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $1.0165 | $0.9920 | -2.41% | 32.43 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $0.9790 | $0.8628 | -11.87% | 28.58 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $0.9622 | $0.9347 | -2.86% | 27.77 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $1.0003 | $0.9461 | -5.42% | 26.26 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-13 | $0.9668 | $1.2369 | +27.94% | 33.60 |
| 2026-05-22 | 2026-05-29 | $1.1218 | $0.9288 | -17.21% | 27.82 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $0.7572 | $0.8027 | +6.01% | 29.49 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $0.8027 | $0.6929 | -13.67% | 25.46 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $0.7186 | $0.7010 | -2.44% | 24.84 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $0.7010 | $0.7493 | +6.89% | 26.55 |
| 2026-07-11 | 2026-07-18 | $0.7384 | $0.7396 | +0.17% | 26.59 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $0.7056 | $0.7674 | +8.75% | 28.92 |
| 2026-09-03 | 2026-09-10 | $0.7459 | $0.7722 | +3.53% | 29.94 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.