Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Sui has recorded 36 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.64% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -46.6% to -37.8% | 2 |
| -37.8% to -29.0% | 3 |
| -29.0% to -20.2% | 2 |
| -20.2% to -11.4% | 2 |
| -11.4% to -2.7% | 11 |
| -2.7% to +6.1% | 5 |
| +6.1% to +14.9% | 6 |
| +14.9% to +23.7% | 3 |
| +23.7% to +32.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 38 | 0.11% | 0.50% | 55.3% | 24.19% | -10.32% |
| 3 days | 37 | 0.31% | -0.50% | 51.4% | 29.52% | -18.60% |
| 7 days | 36 | -1.64% | -4.10% | 33.3% | 16.24% | -23.30% |
| 14 days | 36 | -0.54% | -4.03% | 47.2% | 37.73% | -36.21% |
| 30 days | 35 | -4.59% | -5.29% | 40.0% | 32.50% | -46.60% |
| 90 days | 31 | -25.53% | -25.22% | 12.9% | 16.60% | -52.15% |
Historical occurrences
38 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -0.00 | $0.70 | +2.62% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | -0.00 | $0.77 | -5.82% | -6.13% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | -0.01 | $0.65 | +8.32% | +29.52% | +16.24% | +10.76% | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.01 | $0.69 | -2.59% | +0.31% | -1.27% | +2.32% | +9.54% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.00 | $0.68 | +1.71% | +1.68% | +1.49% | +0.51% | +12.79% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -0.00 | $0.71 | +0.05% | -4.22% | -4.10% | -5.43% | +19.64% | — |
| 2026-07-19 | -0.00 | $0.74 | +0.84% | +3.82% | -4.33% | -9.07% | -9.19% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -0.01 | $0.77 | -4.94% | -6.96% | -10.69% | -6.79% | -3.54% | -10.47% |
| 2026-06-03 | -0.00 | $0.81 | +2.17% | -12.90% | -7.18% | -1.37% | -8.99% | -9.97% |
| 2026-05-29 | -0.00 | $0.93 | -2.61% | -3.68% | -17.49% | -18.82% | -26.40% | -17.38% |
| 2026-05-15 | -0.01 | $1.19 | -7.40% | -12.04% | -5.47% | -21.74% | -35.31% | -42.62% |
| 2026-05-10 | -0.01 | $1.07 | +24.19% | +15.41% | -1.02% | -0.65% | -29.56% | -37.32% |
| 2026-04-28 | -0.00 | $0.94 | -1.11% | -2.96% | -0.75% | +37.73% | +2.30% | -22.76% |
| 2026-04-23 | -0.00 | $0.95 | +0.10% | -0.63% | -4.01% | +5.14% | +10.64% | -18.39% |
| 2026-04-06 | -0.00 | $0.88 | -0.72% | +3.98% | +2.59% | +5.05% | +9.98% | -13.41% |
| 2026-03-30 | -0.00 | $0.85 | +1.80% | +4.04% | +3.72% | +6.41% | +9.20% | -19.35% |
| 2026-03-26 | -0.01 | $1.00 | -5.01% | -14.25% | -12.04% | -8.82% | -5.59% | -29.82% |
| 2026-03-21 | -0.01 | $0.97 | +1.30% | +1.14% | -9.03% | -9.64% | -4.59% | -24.69% |
| 2026-03-19 | -0.00 | $1.01 | -1.55% | -2.69% | -0.51% | -12.49% | -0.95% | -21.02% |
| 2026-03-14 | -0.00 | $1.01 | +3.37% | +7.32% | -4.40% | -13.03% | -10.93% | -25.53% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.01 | $0.93 | +0.13% | +4.18% | +9.06% | +4.26% | -5.31% | -17.46% |
| 2026-02-28 | -0.01 | $0.93 | +0.19% | +1.74% | +0.20% | +9.29% | -8.52% | +0.24% |
| 2026-02-23 | -0.00 | $0.91 | -0.07% | +8.64% | +0.51% | +0.94% | +6.89% | +16.60% |
| 2026-02-19 | -0.01 | $0.96 | +0.88% | +3.04% | +3.28% | +1.57% | +0.77% | +9.40% |
| 2026-02-06 | -0.01 | $0.90 | +13.74% | +11.41% | +5.66% | +7.54% | +3.17% | +10.28% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-19: +16.24%
- 2026-03-07: +9.06%
- 2026-02-06: +5.66%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-29: -23.30%
- 2025-11-10: -21.62%
- 2026-01-15: -17.96%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.