Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

38 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 26 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (12 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades24
Win rate33.3%
Average return / trade-3.96%
Compounded total return-66.37%
Max drawdown-71.13%
Buy & hold, same period-70.24%

Hypothetical growth of $100

2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-12 2025-10-19 $2.5442 $2.5016 -1.67% 98.33
2025-11-10 2025-11-17 $2.1416 $1.6786 -21.62% 77.07
2025-11-25 2025-12-02 $1.5269 $1.3458 -11.86% 67.93
2025-12-08 2025-12-15 $1.5812 $1.5559 -1.60% 66.84
2025-12-15 2025-12-22 $1.5559 $1.4459 -7.07% 62.12
2025-12-22 2025-12-29 $1.4459 $1.4448 -0.08% 62.07
2026-01-15 2026-01-22 $1.8621 $1.5278 -17.96% 50.92
2026-01-29 2026-02-05 $1.4374 $1.1025 -23.30% 39.06
2026-02-06 2026-02-13 $0.9010 $0.9521 +5.66% 41.27
2026-02-19 2026-02-26 $0.9605 $0.9921 +3.28% 42.63
2026-02-28 2026-03-07 $0.9265 $0.9284 +0.20% 42.71
2026-03-07 2026-03-14 $0.9284 $1.0125 +9.06% 46.58
2026-03-14 2026-03-21 $1.0125 $0.9680 -4.40% 44.53
2026-03-21 2026-03-28 $0.9680 $0.8806 -9.03% 40.51
2026-03-30 2026-04-06 $0.8476 $0.8791 +3.72% 42.02
2026-04-06 2026-04-13 $0.8791 $0.9019 +2.59% 43.11
2026-04-23 2026-04-30 $0.9451 $0.9072 -4.01% 41.38
2026-05-10 2026-05-17 $1.0718 $1.0608 -1.02% 40.96
2026-05-29 2026-06-05 $0.9288 $0.7663 -17.49% 33.80
2026-06-18 2026-06-25 $0.7668 $0.6848 -10.69% 30.18
2026-07-19 2026-07-26 $0.7429 $0.7107 -4.33% 28.87
2026-07-28 2026-08-04 $0.6804 $0.6905 +1.49% 29.30
2026-08-06 2026-08-13 $0.6897 $0.6809 -1.27% 28.93
2026-08-19 2026-08-26 $0.6514 $0.7572 +16.24% 33.63

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology