Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 10% One-Day Rise?
Sui has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -6.89% and 11.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -43.7% to -38.8% | 2 |
| -38.8% to -33.9% | 0 |
| -33.9% to -28.9% | 0 |
| -28.9% to -24.0% | 1 |
| -24.0% to -19.0% | 0 |
| -19.0% to -14.1% | 0 |
| -14.1% to -9.2% | 3 |
| -9.2% to -4.2% | 1 |
| -4.2% to +0.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | -0.32% | -0.14% | 33.3% | 6.52% | -5.00% |
| 3 days | 9 | -4.60% | -4.60% | 11.1% | 1.07% | -9.27% |
| 7 days | 9 | -6.89% | -7.33% | 11.1% | 1.87% | -21.58% |
| 14 days | 9 | -4.75% | -7.03% | 11.1% | 5.52% | -22.55% |
| 30 days | 8 | -10.65% | -18.98% | 12.5% | 0.70% | -43.73% |
| 90 days | 8 | -37.87% | -30.82% | 12.5% | 0.79% | -53.89% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 15.03 | $0.84 | -3.39% | -5.30% | -11.86% | -10.47% | — | — |
| 2026-05-11 | 24.19 | $1.33 | -3.16% | -9.27% | -21.58% | -22.55% | -43.73% | -48.02% |
| 2026-04-08 | 10.24 | $0.96 | -5.00% | -1.89% | -2.86% | -1.32% | +0.70% | -22.12% |
| 2026-02-26 | 10.75 | $0.99 | -2.33% | -6.43% | -1.66% | -1.30% | -11.24% | +0.79% |
| 2026-02-07 | 13.74 | $1.02 | -0.01% | -5.96% | -2.98% | -3.97% | -10.06% | -5.46% |
| 2026-01-06 | 12.33 | $1.91 | -0.32% | -4.60% | -6.89% | -17.19% | -42.17% | -53.89% |
| 2025-12-03 | 20.99 | $1.63 | +4.19% | -4.49% | +1.87% | -7.20% | -9.48% | -42.11% |
| 2025-11-25 | 11.77 | $1.53 | +2.29% | +1.07% | -11.86% | +5.52% | -7.33% | -40.19% |
| 2025-10-13 | 10.43 | $2.81 | +6.52% | -4.56% | -8.14% | -4.75% | -28.49% | -35.55% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-03: +1.87%
- 2026-02-26: -1.66%
- 2026-04-08: -2.86%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-11: -21.58%
- 2026-08-22: -11.86%
- 2025-11-25: -11.86%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.