Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
Sui has recorded 26 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.71% and 46.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -11.1% to -5.7% | 7 |
| -5.7% to -0.3% | 6 |
| -0.3% to +5.0% | 6 |
| +5.0% to +10.4% | 4 |
| +10.4% to +15.8% | 1 |
| +15.8% to +21.2% | 0 |
| +21.2% to +26.6% | 0 |
| +26.6% to +32.0% | 1 |
| +32.0% to +37.4% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 26 | -0.12% | -0.13% | 46.2% | 8.32% | -6.79% |
| 3 days | 26 | -0.70% | 2.03% | 46.2% | 37.37% | -11.11% |
| 7 days | 26 | -2.71% | 0.30% | 46.2% | 38.76% | -21.58% |
| 14 days | 24 | -3.24% | -3.56% | 41.7% | 15.78% | -31.69% |
| 30 days | 22 | -4.92% | -7.95% | 40.9% | 19.64% | -43.73% |
| 90 days | 16 | -29.56% | -24.29% | 12.5% | 38.09% | -48.02% |
Historical occurrences
26 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 1.92 | $0.82 | -0.85% | -11.11% | -11.91% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-06 | 1.73 | $0.79 | +2.09% | +2.05% | -8.81% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | 2.40 | $0.71 | +2.19% | +4.92% | +14.15% | -1.21% | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 1.99 | $0.65 | +8.32% | +29.52% | +16.24% | +10.76% | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | 1.87 | $0.68 | +1.71% | +1.68% | +1.49% | +0.51% | +12.79% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | 1.82 | $0.71 | +0.05% | -4.22% | -4.10% | -5.43% | +19.64% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 1.54 | $0.70 | -1.62% | +4.76% | +6.89% | +2.89% | -2.21% | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 1.82 | $0.68 | -0.23% | -0.18% | +4.37% | +3.76% | +3.74% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 1.86 | $0.72 | -2.09% | -4.92% | -2.44% | +4.28% | +6.37% | — |
| 2026-06-21 | 1.81 | $0.71 | -2.87% | -1.38% | -4.18% | +6.70% | +7.10% | — |
| 2026-06-16 | 1.70 | $0.79 | +0.37% | -8.07% | -9.38% | -11.59% | -4.82% | -11.42% |
| 2026-06-06 | 1.82 | $0.70 | +2.10% | +7.41% | +6.81% | +1.89% | +7.58% | +11.45% |
| 2026-05-22 | 2.06 | $1.12 | -6.79% | -8.11% | -17.21% | -31.69% | -36.41% | -37.10% |
| 2026-05-16 | 1.82 | $1.10 | -3.46% | -3.24% | -4.85% | -17.69% | -26.95% | -37.32% |
| 2026-05-11 | 3.48 | $1.33 | -3.16% | -9.27% | -21.58% | -22.55% | -43.73% | -48.02% |
| 2026-05-08 | 1.77 | $0.97 | +5.54% | +37.37% | +22.48% | +15.78% | -25.94% | -28.82% |
| 2026-05-05 | 1.64 | $0.93 | +4.08% | +4.30% | +38.76% | +14.47% | -11.24% | -25.83% |
| 2026-04-18 | 1.51 | $1.00 | -4.07% | -5.35% | -5.18% | -7.94% | +4.58% | -26.02% |
| 2026-02-10 | 2.43 | $0.96 | -3.40% | -1.22% | +6.20% | -5.33% | +1.59% | +38.09% |
| 2026-02-07 | 1.88 | $1.02 | -0.01% | -5.96% | -2.98% | -3.97% | -10.06% | -5.46% |
| 2025-12-04 | 1.83 | $1.70 | -2.19% | -7.79% | -4.83% | -16.18% | -5.02% | -44.95% |
| 2025-11-22 | 1.77 | $1.39 | -3.24% | +9.83% | +9.48% | +11.86% | +4.01% | -30.30% |
| 2025-11-15 | 1.92 | $1.74 | +1.42% | -7.21% | -20.17% | -12.60% | -10.66% | -45.33% |
| 2025-11-05 | 1.87 | $1.98 | +2.74% | +8.74% | +1.60% | -15.69% | -16.08% | -40.77% |
| 2025-10-18 | 1.53 | $2.44 | +2.54% | +5.59% | +3.43% | -3.13% | -31.20% | -26.56% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-05: +38.76%
- 2026-05-08: +22.48%
- 2026-08-19: +16.24%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-11: -21.58%
- 2025-11-15: -20.17%
- 2026-05-22: -17.21%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.