Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 2x Volume Spike?
Sui has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 6.20% and 57.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -21.6% to -17.6% | 1 |
| -17.6% to -13.6% | 1 |
| -13.6% to -9.7% | 0 |
| -9.7% to -5.7% | 1 |
| -5.7% to -1.7% | 0 |
| -1.7% to +2.2% | 0 |
| +2.2% to +6.2% | 1 |
| +6.2% to +10.2% | 2 |
| +10.2% to +14.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 7 | -2.55% | -1.10% | 42.9% | 3.95% | -6.79% |
| 3 days | 7 | -0.43% | 2.29% | 42.9% | 15.52% | -9.27% |
| 7 days | 7 | 6.20% | -1.25% | 57.1% | 14.15% | -21.58% |
| 14 days | 7 | -3.35% | -7.64% | 28.6% | 5.71% | -31.69% |
| 30 days | 5 | -17.97% | -18.50% | 40.0% | 4.03% | -43.73% |
| 90 days | 4 | -33.72% | -19.34% | 25.0% | 38.09% | -48.02% |
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 2.40 | $0.71 | +2.19% | +4.92% | +14.15% | -1.21% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 2.69 | $0.71 | +3.95% | +15.52% | +8.75% | +5.71% | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | 2.22 | $0.68 | +2.05% | -0.43% | +7.49% | +4.90% | +4.03% | — |
| 2026-05-22 | 2.06 | $1.12 | -6.79% | -8.11% | -17.21% | -31.69% | -36.41% | -37.10% |
| 2026-05-11 | 3.48 | $1.33 | -3.16% | -9.27% | -21.58% | -22.55% | -43.73% | -48.02% |
| 2026-02-10 | 2.43 | $0.96 | -3.40% | -1.22% | +6.20% | -5.33% | +1.59% | +38.09% |
| 2025-10-11 | 3.41 | $2.61 | -2.55% | +14.63% | -6.55% | -3.35% | -17.97% | -30.34% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-31: +14.15%
- 2026-08-20: +8.75%
- 2026-06-26: +7.49%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-11: -21.58%
- 2026-05-22: -17.21%
- 2025-10-11: -6.55%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.