Transparent historical data
What Happens to Stellar After a New 30-Day High?
Stellar has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -7.21% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.5% to -12.1% | 1 |
| -12.1% to -10.7% | 1 |
| -10.7% to -9.3% | 1 |
| -9.3% to -7.9% | 0 |
| -7.9% to -6.5% | 0 |
| -6.5% to -5.1% | 0 |
| -5.1% to -3.7% | 2 |
| -3.7% to -2.3% | 0 |
| -2.3% to -0.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | -1.65% | 2.76% | 16.7% | 27.78% | -3.92% |
| 3 days | 6 | -4.63% | 0.06% | 16.7% | 27.84% | -9.11% |
| 7 days | 6 | -7.21% | -7.40% | 0.0% | -0.93% | -13.47% |
| 14 days | 6 | -10.89% | -9.71% | 0.0% | -4.60% | -14.91% |
| 30 days | 5 | -14.62% | -15.54% | 0.0% | -2.37% | -32.43% |
| 90 days | 5 | 5.21% | -4.08% | 60.0% | 9.94% | -35.48% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 7.68 | $0.20 | -3.07% | -4.06% | -11.05% | -11.05% | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | 19.95 | $0.20 | +27.78% | +27.84% | -0.93% | -5.80% | -14.62% | -8.80% |
| 2026-04-22 | 0.96 | $0.18 | -1.34% | -3.30% | -9.57% | -10.73% | -18.26% | +5.21% |
| 2026-03-26 | 1.02 | $0.18 | -1.96% | -5.19% | -4.55% | -11.17% | -2.37% | +9.94% |
| 2026-03-17 | 0.66 | $0.18 | -0.96% | -5.80% | -4.84% | -4.60% | -10.01% | +8.73% |
| 2026-01-06 | 0.01 | $0.25 | -3.92% | -9.11% | -13.47% | -14.91% | -32.43% | -35.48% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-29: -0.93%
- 2026-03-26: -4.55%
- 2026-03-17: -4.84%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-06: -13.47%
- 2026-08-22: -11.05%
- 2026-04-22: -9.57%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.