Transparent historical data
What Happens to Stellar After an All-Time High?
Stellar has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.40% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 2 | 1.00% | 1.00% | 50.0% | 2.43% | -0.43% |
| 3 days | 2 | -2.25% | -2.25% | 0.0% | -1.45% | -3.05% |
| 7 days | 2 | -3.40% | -3.40% | 50.0% | 0.29% | -7.09% |
| 14 days | 2 | -17.36% | -17.36% | 0.0% | -11.10% | -23.62% |
| 30 days | 2 | -21.77% | -21.77% | 0.0% | -18.22% | -25.33% |
| 90 days | 2 | -43.75% | -43.75% | 0.0% | -36.73% | -50.77% |
Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-03 | 0.85 | $0.41 | -0.43% | -3.05% | -7.09% | -23.62% | -25.33% | -50.77% |
| 2025-09-12 | 3.08 | $0.40 | +2.43% | -1.45% | +0.29% | -11.10% | -18.22% | -36.73% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-12: +0.29%
- 2025-10-03: -7.09%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-03: -7.09%
- 2025-09-12: +0.29%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the full history; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.