Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Stellar

6 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate0.0%
Average return / trade-7.40%
Compounded total return-37.37%
Max drawdown-37.37%
Buy & hold, same period-29.16%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-06 2026-01-13 $0.2534 $0.2193 -13.47% 86.53
2026-03-17 2026-03-24 $0.1755 $0.1670 -4.84% 82.34
2026-03-26 2026-04-02 $0.1773 $0.1693 -4.55% 78.60
2026-04-22 2026-04-29 $0.1790 $0.1619 -9.57% 71.08
2026-05-29 2026-06-05 $0.2033 $0.2014 -0.93% 70.42
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $0.2018 $0.1795 -11.05% 62.63

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Stellar ยท Read the full methodology