Transparent historical data
What Happens to Stellar After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Stellar dataset.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -43.2% to -31.0% | 14 |
| -31.0% to -18.7% | 9 |
| -18.7% to -6.5% | 8 |
| -6.5% to +5.8% | 4 |
| +5.8% to +18.0% | 3 |
| +18.0% to +30.3% | 3 |
| +30.3% to +42.6% | 3 |
| +42.6% to +54.8% | 0 |
| +54.8% to +67.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
57 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | -0.01 | $0.15 | +9.96% | +30.43% | +17.94% | +13.56% | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | -0.01 | $0.16 | +0.38% | -1.20% | -2.03% | +20.02% | +12.29% | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.02 | $0.16 | -2.19% | -0.27% | -3.32% | +3.21% | +8.89% | — |
| 2026-07-31 | -0.03 | $0.17 | +0.06% | +1.24% | -6.22% | -7.29% | +4.50% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.01 | $0.17 | +1.27% | +0.05% | -0.37% | -6.11% | +7.91% | — |
| 2026-07-24 | -0.00 | $0.18 | -2.43% | +0.07% | -5.66% | -11.53% | +7.34% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -0.01 | $0.18 | +2.10% | +2.41% | +4.29% | -4.86% | -11.76% | — |
| 2026-07-08 | -0.00 | $0.19 | -4.02% | +0.95% | -2.28% | +1.75% | -14.56% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -0.00 | $0.20 | +1.05% | +4.90% | -8.02% | -4.36% | -12.64% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -0.01 | $0.17 | -0.59% | +8.57% | +18.99% | +7.32% | -1.02% | — |
| 2026-06-25 | -0.00 | $0.19 | -3.41% | -6.25% | +6.34% | -2.19% | -3.98% | — |
| 2026-06-20 | -0.01 | $0.22 | -0.91% | -7.13% | -18.59% | -6.45% | -13.76% | — |
| 2026-06-17 | -0.00 | $0.22 | +4.03% | +0.71% | -9.94% | -12.93% | -14.55% | -11.48% |
| 2026-06-07 | -0.00 | $0.21 | -3.15% | -9.47% | -11.96% | +1.72% | -5.86% | -15.48% |
| 2026-06-01 | -0.03 | $0.26 | -6.64% | -19.65% | -20.87% | -26.57% | -27.49% | -30.89% |
| 2026-05-28 | -0.03 | $0.16 | +24.25% | +40.51% | +27.63% | +11.63% | +8.45% | +11.52% |
| 2026-05-23 | -0.01 | $0.14 | +3.11% | +4.34% | +81.29% | +41.60% | +46.34% | +26.67% |
| 2026-05-18 | -0.00 | $0.15 | -1.45% | -3.72% | -1.26% | +74.19% | +45.06% | +5.85% |
| 2026-05-16 | -0.01 | $0.15 | -1.83% | -4.84% | -7.27% | +68.11% | +23.50% | +3.13% |
| 2026-04-28 | -0.01 | $0.17 | -2.61% | -4.70% | -5.23% | +1.28% | -1.57% | +9.68% |
| 2026-04-09 | -0.03 | $0.16 | -1.61% | -2.50% | +0.28% | +12.13% | +3.85% | +19.79% |
| 2026-04-07 | -0.02 | $0.16 | +4.92% | -0.56% | +0.28% | +11.53% | +3.79% | +30.38% |
| 2026-03-30 | -0.00 | $0.16 | +1.83% | +2.93% | -0.60% | -8.47% | -1.55% | +5.56% |
| 2026-03-23 | -0.00 | $0.16 | +6.90% | +13.49% | +5.25% | +4.62% | +14.58% | +38.25% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.02 | $0.15 | -1.27% | -0.96% | +7.46% | +8.64% | +7.36% | +32.30% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-23: +81.29%
- 2026-05-28: +27.63%
- 2026-06-28: +18.99%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-01: -20.87%
- 2026-02-01: -18.95%
- 2026-06-20: -18.59%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.