Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
57 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 33 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (24 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $0.3806 | $0.3686 | -3.15% | 96.85 |
| 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-30 | $0.3686 | $0.3718 | +0.88% | 97.71 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3199 | $0.3087 | -3.52% | 94.27 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2025-11-02 | $0.3248 | $0.3050 | -6.09% | 88.52 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $0.2781 | $0.3003 | +7.98% | 95.59 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $0.2774 | $0.2461 | -11.28% | 84.80 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2025-11-30 | $0.2300 | $0.2541 | +10.49% | 93.70 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.2484 | $0.2371 | -4.56% | 89.43 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $0.2294 | $0.2165 | -5.66% | 84.36 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2025-12-29 | $0.2165 | $0.2202 | +1.72% | 85.82 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-07 | $0.2105 | $0.2434 | +15.66% | 99.25 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $0.2261 | $0.2305 | +1.91% | 101.15 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $0.2129 | $0.2036 | -4.37% | 96.73 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $0.1996 | $0.1618 | -18.95% | 78.40 |
| 2026-02-09 | 2026-02-16 | $0.1616 | $0.1709 | +5.75% | 82.91 |
| 2026-02-16 | 2026-02-23 | $0.1709 | $0.1508 | -11.77% | 73.15 |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-03-03 | $0.1520 | $0.1556 | +2.37% | 74.89 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $0.1556 | $0.1508 | -3.08% | 72.58 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.1563 | $0.1645 | +5.25% | 76.39 |
| 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-06 | $0.1645 | $0.1635 | -0.60% | 75.93 |
| 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-14 | $0.1559 | $0.1563 | +0.28% | 76.14 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-05 | $0.1663 | $0.1576 | -5.23% | 72.16 |
| 2026-05-16 | 2026-05-23 | $0.1546 | $0.1433 | -7.27% | 66.92 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $0.1433 | $0.2598 | +81.29% | 121.31 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-08 | $0.2600 | $0.2057 | -20.87% | 95.99 |
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-24 | $0.2165 | $0.1950 | -9.94% | 86.45 |
| 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-02 | $0.1852 | $0.1969 | +6.34% | 91.93 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.1969 | $0.1811 | -8.02% | 84.56 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $0.1806 | $0.1884 | +4.29% | 88.19 |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-31 | $0.1822 | $0.1719 | -5.66% | 83.20 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $0.1719 | $0.1612 | -6.22% | 78.02 |
| 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-18 | $0.1613 | $0.1580 | -2.03% | 76.43 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $0.1547 | $0.1825 | +17.94% | 90.15 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.