Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After Negative Funding?
Solana has recorded 50 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.49% and 34.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -15.9% to -13.1% | 1 |
| -13.1% to -10.4% | 1 |
| -10.4% to -7.6% | 2 |
| -7.6% to -4.9% | 6 |
| -4.9% to -2.2% | 15 |
| -2.2% to +0.6% | 8 |
| +0.6% to +3.3% | 10 |
| +3.3% to +6.1% | 5 |
| +6.1% to +8.8% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 51 | -0.79% | -0.77% | 37.3% | 4.21% | -5.97% |
| 3 days | 51 | -1.93% | -1.46% | 41.2% | 8.80% | -15.85% |
| 7 days | 50 | -1.49% | -3.00% | 34.0% | 14.59% | -26.57% |
| 14 days | 48 | -4.23% | -3.16% | 33.3% | 30.22% | -36.54% |
| 30 days | 47 | -5.90% | -5.67% | 36.2% | 43.28% | -44.33% |
| 90 days | 35 | -32.96% | -27.94% | 2.9% | 28.24% | -49.89% |
Historical occurrences
51 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | -0.00 | $101.75 | -2.38% | -4.79% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-07 | -0.00 | $106.49 | -2.55% | -4.62% | -6.73% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | -0.00 | $103.96 | -1.95% | +2.43% | -5.13% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | -0.00 | $109.18 | -4.64% | -6.86% | -4.78% | -9.66% | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | -0.00 | $75.92 | +0.38% | +0.37% | +0.06% | +30.22% | +33.77% | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.00 | $73.99 | -1.83% | +2.67% | +2.13% | +15.34% | +37.77% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | -0.00 | $71.89 | +2.30% | +2.53% | +5.66% | +4.71% | +43.28% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.00 | $74.14 | -0.50% | +0.43% | -0.88% | +2.40% | +37.64% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | -0.00 | $78.09 | -0.19% | -5.35% | -5.53% | -5.60% | +12.25% | — |
| 2026-07-19 | -0.00 | $75.48 | +1.10% | +3.45% | -1.33% | -4.75% | +0.65% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | -0.00 | $77.81 | -0.73% | -3.61% | +0.36% | -5.19% | -2.06% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | -0.00 | $78.07 | -1.73% | -4.02% | -3.93% | -5.33% | -2.38% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | -0.00 | $81.89 | -1.59% | -4.76% | -8.50% | -5.06% | -9.65% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -0.00 | $77.36 | +4.21% | +5.61% | +0.55% | -0.16% | -5.90% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | -0.00 | $71.81 | -1.96% | +4.46% | +14.59% | +8.71% | +6.79% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -0.00 | $72.42 | -0.79% | -6.18% | -1.59% | +12.56% | +7.82% | — |
| 2026-06-01 | -0.00 | $82.34 | -1.43% | -13.11% | -19.33% | -13.50% | -10.65% | +28.24% |
| 2026-05-12 | -0.01 | $97.25 | -3.05% | -5.28% | -12.27% | -12.62% | -35.03% | -21.63% |
| 2026-05-10 | -0.01 | $93.14 | +3.51% | +1.23% | -7.11% | -8.02% | -28.28% | -20.96% |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.01 | $89.17 | -0.82% | +4.46% | +2.19% | -3.48% | -28.63% | -17.33% |
| 2026-05-02 | -0.00 | $83.75 | +0.62% | +0.41% | +9.86% | +6.51% | -1.68% | -11.08% |
| 2026-04-23 | -0.00 | $86.93 | -0.91% | -0.85% | -4.48% | +2.57% | -3.01% | -10.17% |
| 2026-04-18 | -0.01 | $88.83 | -3.00% | -3.98% | -2.94% | -5.72% | -4.11% | -15.27% |
| 2026-04-15 | -0.01 | $83.82 | +1.36% | +5.98% | +2.65% | +0.27% | +9.90% | -10.60% |
| 2026-04-11 | -0.00 | $84.81 | +0.15% | +2.16% | +4.74% | +1.66% | +13.68% | -8.04% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-27: +14.59%
- 2026-05-02: +9.86%
- 2025-09-11: +9.22%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-29: -26.57%
- 2025-10-05: -21.94%
- 2025-10-29: -20.12%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.