Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Solana has recorded 50 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.37% and 48.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -17.7% to -12.4% | 5 |
| -12.4% to -7.1% | 4 |
| -7.1% to -1.7% | 12 |
| -1.7% to +3.6% | 15 |
| +3.6% to +8.9% | 8 |
| +8.9% to +14.2% | 3 |
| +14.2% to +19.5% | 2 |
| +19.5% to +24.8% | 0 |
| +24.8% to +30.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 51 | 0.04% | -0.10% | 51.0% | 6.99% | -8.65% |
| 3 days | 50 | -0.67% | 0.13% | 48.0% | 15.37% | -22.31% |
| 7 days | 50 | -0.37% | -0.49% | 48.0% | 30.13% | -17.69% |
| 14 days | 49 | -2.42% | -2.55% | 32.7% | 35.59% | -21.39% |
| 30 days | 47 | -6.73% | -6.97% | 31.9% | 42.04% | -40.46% |
| 90 days | 39 | -35.71% | -26.36% | 2.6% | 25.29% | -47.25% |
Historical occurrences
51 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 0.01 | $99.33 | +3.21% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 0.01 | $103.96 | -1.95% | +2.43% | -5.13% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | 0.01 | $102.05 | +6.99% | +3.47% | -1.62% | -0.47% | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | 0.01 | $75.97 | +1.35% | +15.37% | +30.13% | +35.59% | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | 0.01 | $72.63 | +1.36% | +4.93% | +4.92% | +20.68% | +42.04% | — |
| 2026-08-04 | 0.01 | $73.49 | +0.31% | -1.17% | +3.32% | +3.38% | +36.61% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | 0.01 | $72.79 | -1.24% | +0.95% | +1.13% | +3.49% | +39.68% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.01 | $77.75 | +0.44% | -2.44% | -4.64% | -5.48% | +9.75% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.01 | $77.99 | +0.10% | -1.44% | -3.49% | -2.74% | -2.61% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.01 | $75.01 | -1.93% | +7.47% | +9.16% | -0.11% | -1.87% | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 0.01 | $71.81 | -1.96% | +4.46% | +14.59% | +8.71% | +6.79% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | 0.01 | $69.65 | +0.04% | +3.98% | -2.90% | +15.75% | +8.37% | — |
| 2026-06-02 | 0.01 | $81.16 | -8.65% | -15.22% | -17.69% | -8.89% | -4.68% | +25.29% |
| 2026-05-22 | 0.01 | $87.17 | -3.28% | -2.24% | -5.88% | -21.06% | -16.05% | -2.11% |
| 2026-05-16 | 0.01 | $89.20 | -3.01% | -4.35% | -5.48% | -8.10% | -20.16% | -14.57% |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.01 | $94.29 | -3.36% | -5.39% | -10.71% | -11.26% | -29.13% | -19.47% |
| 2026-05-08 | 0.01 | $88.43 | +4.04% | +9.02% | +4.17% | -1.42% | -29.69% | -16.34% |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.01 | $83.84 | +0.29% | +6.35% | +14.99% | +1.60% | -11.57% | -14.25% |
| 2026-04-22 | 0.01 | $86.04 | +1.03% | +0.20% | -2.32% | +0.31% | +1.32% | -9.64% |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.01 | $84.96 | +4.87% | +1.42% | +2.32% | -2.27% | +4.99% | -8.42% |
| 2026-04-12 | 0.01 | $84.93 | -4.06% | -1.31% | +1.45% | +1.49% | +14.51% | -8.08% |
| 2026-04-10 | 0.01 | $83.30 | +1.81% | -2.18% | +6.96% | +3.41% | +11.81% | -6.62% |
| 2026-04-08 | 0.01 | $85.74 | -3.74% | -1.08% | -2.24% | +0.36% | +3.14% | -4.49% |
| 2026-03-24 | 0.01 | $91.62 | -0.72% | -5.52% | -10.01% | -12.53% | -5.12% | -20.95% |
| 2026-03-16 | 0.01 | $92.84 | +3.29% | -2.94% | -6.82% | -12.34% | -9.72% | -25.81% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-18: +30.13%
- 2026-05-04: +14.99%
- 2026-06-27: +14.59%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-02: -17.69%
- 2025-11-10: -16.59%
- 2025-10-09: -15.33%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.