Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After a 10% One-Day Rise?
Solana has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.25% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 10.82 | $85.33 | +2.72% | +10.02% | +19.59% | +17.65% | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | 11.27 | $88.08 | -2.27% | -3.87% | +3.40% | -1.73% | -5.76% | -5.01% |
| 2026-02-07 | 10.93 | $86.98 | +0.65% | -0.20% | -2.90% | -2.51% | -5.86% | +1.67% |
| 2025-10-13 | 10.80 | $197.21 | +5.78% | -1.64% | -4.78% | +1.42% | -21.58% | -31.12% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +19.59%
- 2026-02-26: +3.40%
- 2026-02-07: -2.90%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-13: -4.78%
- 2026-02-07: -2.90%
- 2026-02-26: +3.40%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.