Transparent historical data
What Happens to Rain After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Rain dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -5.7% to +6.9% | 6 |
| +6.9% to +19.5% | 0 |
| +19.5% to +32.1% | 1 |
| +32.1% to +44.7% | 0 |
| +44.7% to +57.2% | 0 |
| +57.2% to +69.8% | 0 |
| +69.8% to +82.4% | 0 |
| +82.4% to +95.0% | 0 |
| +95.0% to +107.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | 2.07 | $0.01 | +2.81% | -5.66% | -8.34% | +2.27% | +12.46% | +20.99% |
| 2026-05-27 | 2.08 | $0.01 | +25.39% | +25.11% | +19.37% | +9.41% | +36.19% | +28.39% |
| 2026-05-14 | 2.26 | $0.01 | +0.76% | -0.08% | -0.79% | +93.31% | +73.65% | +72.27% |
| 2026-05-12 | 2.38 | $0.01 | +0.19% | +0.55% | -1.44% | +7.01% | +74.32% | +67.24% |
| 2026-01-03 | 2.09 | $0.01 | -0.25% | +1.24% | +4.19% | +17.49% | +20.73% | -1.95% |
| 2025-12-28 | 2.44 | $0.01 | -1.08% | -2.24% | -1.88% | +9.92% | +23.75% | +1.25% |
| 2025-12-24 | 2.58 | $0.01 | +0.52% | -3.76% | +0.07% | +14.70% | +26.04% | +8.77% |
| 2025-11-24 | 2.00 | $0.00 | +118.74% | +107.57% | +104.74% | +106.08% | +119.22% | +158.70% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-24: +104.74%
- 2026-05-27: +19.37%
- 2026-01-03: +4.19%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -8.34%
- 2025-12-28: -1.88%
- 2026-05-12: -1.44%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.