Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Rain

8 historical signal(s) detected for Rain; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate66.7%
Average return / trade+19.76%
Compounded total return+130.19%
Max drawdown-8.34%
Buy & hold, same period+246.49%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-11-24 2025-12-01 $0.0037 $0.0075 +104.74% 204.74
2025-12-24 2025-12-31 $0.0080 $0.0080 +0.07% 204.87
2026-01-03 2026-01-10 $0.0081 $0.0084 +4.19% 213.47
2026-05-12 2026-05-19 $0.0075 $0.0074 -1.44% 210.39
2026-05-27 2026-06-03 $0.0116 $0.0138 +19.37% 251.15
2026-06-03 2026-06-10 $0.0138 $0.0127 -8.34% 230.19

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Rain ยท Read the full methodology