Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 5% One-Day Drop?
Litecoin has recorded 17 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.72% and 35.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -18.0% to -14.7% | 2 |
| -14.7% to -11.4% | 2 |
| -11.4% to -8.1% | 1 |
| -8.1% to -4.7% | 1 |
| -4.7% to -1.4% | 2 |
| -1.4% to +1.9% | 3 |
| +1.9% to +5.2% | 5 |
| +5.2% to +8.5% | 0 |
| +8.5% to +11.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | -0.24% | -0.32% | 47.1% | 7.90% | -5.32% |
| 3 days | 17 | -0.61% | 0.15% | 35.3% | 9.90% | -7.66% |
| 7 days | 17 | -0.72% | -1.59% | 35.3% | 19.39% | -13.32% |
| 14 days | 17 | -0.46% | -2.99% | 41.2% | 11.85% | -18.02% |
| 30 days | 17 | -8.17% | -6.52% | 29.4% | 13.72% | -23.71% |
| 90 days | 16 | -22.44% | -18.36% | 25.0% | 18.93% | -47.73% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | -5.34 | $42.12 | -2.49% | -0.61% | -0.53% | +4.23% | +11.41% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | -5.04 | $43.28 | -4.48% | -0.64% | -0.52% | +1.69% | +5.73% | +18.93% |
| 2026-06-03 | -7.58 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-02-23 | -5.79 | $51.63 | -0.24% | +9.90% | +3.15% | +1.99% | +9.28% | +3.51% |
| 2026-02-06 | -13.62 | $50.80 | +7.90% | +7.32% | +4.59% | +3.73% | +5.53% | +11.68% |
| 2026-02-01 | -9.10 | $59.43 | -1.51% | -0.16% | -7.15% | -5.84% | -8.17% | -6.80% |
| 2026-01-21 | -5.02 | $67.23 | +1.98% | +1.20% | +4.06% | -11.75% | -21.62% | -18.14% |
| 2026-01-19 | -5.57 | $70.68 | +0.14% | -3.00% | -4.93% | -17.20% | -23.71% | -21.25% |
| 2026-01-16 | -5.66 | $72.30 | +3.98% | -2.24% | -5.67% | -8.36% | -22.61% | -23.63% |
| 2025-12-02 | -6.20 | $77.55 | +6.83% | +7.76% | +8.19% | -0.01% | -1.11% | -31.32% |
| 2025-11-21 | -5.99 | $87.23 | -5.32% | -4.83% | -0.72% | -4.20% | -10.80% | -38.89% |
| 2025-11-17 | -5.67 | $95.78 | -4.81% | -3.12% | -13.32% | -13.68% | -17.47% | -41.58% |
| 2025-11-11 | -5.33 | $104.31 | -4.48% | -7.42% | -12.59% | -18.02% | -19.06% | -47.73% |
| 2025-11-04 | -12.21 | $87.37 | -2.33% | -0.46% | +19.39% | +4.36% | -1.67% | -33.01% |
| 2025-10-31 | -5.46 | $93.28 | +2.24% | +6.68% | -6.77% | +3.52% | -9.94% | -25.62% |
| 2025-10-11 | -23.08 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
| 2025-09-23 | -7.24 | $105.77 | +0.34% | -2.82% | +1.02% | +11.85% | -13.12% | -27.37% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-04: +19.39%
- 2025-12-02: +8.19%
- 2026-02-06: +4.59%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-17: -13.32%
- 2025-11-11: -12.59%
- 2026-06-03: -8.27%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.