Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 15% Seven-Day Drop?
Litecoin has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.75% and 25.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 4 | -2.22% | -2.36% | 0.0% | -0.54% | -4.48% |
| 3 days | 4 | 1.04% | -0.50% | 50.0% | 3.53% | -7.62% |
| 7 days | 4 | -3.75% | -3.88% | 25.0% | 2.07% | -10.09% |
| 14 days | 4 | -1.58% | -2.64% | 25.0% | 1.69% | -9.11% |
| 30 days | 4 | -0.36% | 1.51% | 50.0% | 13.72% | -6.98% |
| 90 days | 4 | -11.76% | -10.19% | 25.0% | 18.93% | -36.19% |
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | -16.52 | $43.28 | -4.48% | -0.64% | -0.52% | +1.69% | +5.73% | +18.93% |
| 2026-02-04 | -15.19 | $59.33 | -0.88% | -7.62% | -10.09% | -9.11% | -6.44% | -7.37% |
| 2025-11-22 | -15.40 | $82.59 | -0.54% | +3.53% | +2.07% | -2.69% | -6.98% | -36.19% |
| 2025-10-11 | -19.72 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-22: +2.07%
- 2026-06-06: -0.52%
- 2025-10-11: -6.98%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-04: -10.09%
- 2025-10-11: -6.98%
- 2026-06-06: -0.52%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.