Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
Litecoin has recorded 14 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.59% and 42.9% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.3% to -9.7% | 1 |
| -9.7% to -6.1% | 3 |
| -6.1% to -2.4% | 3 |
| -2.4% to +1.2% | 2 |
| +1.2% to +4.9% | 2 |
| +4.9% to +8.5% | 1 |
| +8.5% to +12.1% | 0 |
| +12.1% to +15.8% | 0 |
| +15.8% to +19.4% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 14 | -1.03% | -0.75% | 42.9% | 3.98% | -5.04% |
| 3 days | 14 | 0.52% | 0.51% | 50.0% | 6.23% | -6.08% |
| 7 days | 14 | -1.59% | 0.16% | 42.9% | 19.39% | -13.32% |
| 14 days | 14 | -3.30% | -2.91% | 28.6% | 22.54% | -17.20% |
| 30 days | 14 | -6.31% | -7.05% | 21.4% | 13.72% | -23.71% |
| 90 days | 14 | -22.35% | -16.96% | 21.4% | 30.15% | -41.58% |
Historical occurrences
14 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | -11.40 | $41.72 | +1.71% | +6.23% | +7.57% | -1.54% | +7.27% | +30.15% |
| 2026-06-05 | -11.68 | $45.58 | -5.04% | -6.08% | -6.91% | -3.91% | -1.68% | +8.95% |
| 2026-02-11 | -10.09 | $53.35 | -1.84% | +3.17% | +1.08% | -4.08% | +2.17% | +9.64% |
| 2026-02-01 | -12.83 | $59.43 | -1.51% | -0.16% | -7.15% | -5.84% | -8.17% | -6.80% |
| 2026-01-21 | -14.15 | $67.23 | +1.98% | +1.20% | +4.06% | -11.75% | -21.62% | -18.14% |
| 2026-01-19 | -10.07 | $70.68 | +0.14% | -3.00% | -4.93% | -17.20% | -23.71% | -21.25% |
| 2026-01-16 | -11.01 | $72.30 | +3.98% | -2.24% | -5.67% | -8.36% | -22.61% | -23.63% |
| 2025-12-18 | -10.04 | $75.95 | -2.23% | +2.46% | -0.33% | +0.98% | -1.01% | -23.44% |
| 2025-11-26 | -10.75 | $85.27 | +1.86% | -1.14% | -2.84% | +0.88% | -11.26% | -39.60% |
| 2025-11-22 | -15.40 | $82.59 | -0.54% | +3.53% | +2.07% | -2.69% | -6.98% | -36.19% |
| 2025-11-17 | -13.06 | $95.78 | -4.81% | -3.12% | -13.32% | -13.68% | -17.47% | -41.58% |
| 2025-11-04 | -12.09 | $87.37 | -2.33% | -0.46% | +19.39% | +4.36% | -1.67% | -33.01% |
| 2025-10-11 | -19.72 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
| 2025-09-26 | -13.09 | $102.79 | +1.69% | +3.96% | +16.26% | +22.54% | -5.63% | -26.36% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-04: +19.39%
- 2025-09-26: +16.26%
- 2026-06-11: +7.57%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-17: -13.32%
- 2026-02-01: -7.15%
- 2025-10-11: -6.98%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.