Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -17.5% to -10.1% | 1 |
| -10.1% to -2.7% | 1 |
| -2.7% to +4.7% | 0 |
| +4.7% to +12.1% | 4 |
| +12.1% to +19.5% | 1 |
| +19.5% to +26.9% | 0 |
| +26.9% to +34.3% | 0 |
| +34.3% to +41.7% | 1 |
| +41.7% to +49.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
10 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 4.23 | $69.60 | +5.82% | +14.20% | +18.24% | +17.69% | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 2.27 | $73.56 | -3.32% | -4.46% | -15.55% | -11.68% | -17.50% | +9.22% |
| 2026-06-05 | 2.35 | $64.37 | -7.23% | -7.38% | -8.48% | +6.06% | +8.47% | +27.27% |
| 2026-05-19 | 2.83 | $47.71 | +0.75% | +22.80% | +28.12% | +54.05% | +49.05% | +19.71% |
| 2026-05-15 | 2.19 | $44.16 | +0.01% | +3.47% | +32.68% | +39.44% | +37.43% | +26.89% |
| 2026-03-19 | 2.25 | $42.08 | -6.59% | -7.56% | -4.16% | -14.39% | +6.05% | +74.82% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.32 | $40.77 | +1.15% | -3.59% | -8.33% | -9.66% | +9.60% | +56.70% |
| 2026-03-10 | 2.17 | $34.66 | +0.09% | +7.47% | +17.63% | +7.83% | +11.70% | +72.00% |
| 2026-01-28 | 3.49 | $30.78 | +11.36% | -0.67% | +5.66% | -6.30% | -8.38% | +35.31% |
| 2025-10-12 | 2.04 | $36.90 | +7.73% | +7.07% | -0.07% | +19.99% | +12.58% | -31.95% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-15: +32.68%
- 2026-05-19: +28.12%
- 2026-08-20: +18.24%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-17: -15.55%
- 2026-06-05: -8.48%
- 2026-03-17: -8.33%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.