Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 3x Volume Spike?
Hyperliquid has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 3.38% and 62.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.2% to -9.7% | 1 |
| -9.7% to -6.2% | 1 |
| -6.2% to -2.7% | 1 |
| -2.7% to +0.8% | 0 |
| +0.8% to +4.3% | 1 |
| +4.3% to +7.8% | 2 |
| +7.8% to +11.2% | 0 |
| +11.2% to +14.7% | 0 |
| +14.7% to +18.2% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 3.82 | $84.16 | -1.66% | +3.91% | +1.17% | -4.54% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 4.23 | $69.60 | +5.82% | +14.20% | +18.24% | +17.69% | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 | 3.04 | $73.50 | -5.12% | -12.43% | -13.22% | -9.00% | -15.16% | +8.91% |
| 2026-05-30 | 3.86 | $64.41 | +5.96% | +14.11% | -7.29% | -7.95% | -4.64% | +31.47% |
| 2026-05-27 | 3.45 | $59.49 | -2.80% | +8.27% | +17.22% | -2.91% | +7.71% | +32.60% |
| 2026-05-21 | 4.15 | $54.76 | +6.99% | +7.13% | +5.59% | +36.05% | +28.33% | +6.85% |
| 2026-02-03 | 4.03 | $33.25 | -2.19% | -0.74% | -5.71% | -5.93% | -3.10% | +24.82% |
| 2026-01-28 | 3.49 | $30.78 | +11.36% | -0.67% | +5.66% | -6.30% | -8.38% | +35.31% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +18.24%
- 2026-05-27: +17.22%
- 2026-01-28: +5.66%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-02: -13.22%
- 2026-05-30: -7.29%
- 2026-02-03: -5.71%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.