Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 15% Seven-Day Drop?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -19.7% to -11.7% | 3 |
| -11.7% to -3.7% | 3 |
| -3.7% to +4.3% | 3 |
| +4.3% to +12.3% | 1 |
| +12.3% to +20.4% | 1 |
| +20.4% to +28.4% | 2 |
| +28.4% to +36.4% | 0 |
| +36.4% to +44.4% | 1 |
| +44.4% to +52.4% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
15 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | -15.55 | $62.12 | +2.75% | +3.52% | +4.59% | +11.40% | -7.42% | — |
| 2026-06-10 | -17.17 | $57.76 | -7.79% | +2.64% | +27.35% | +7.54% | +16.14% | +47.41% |
| 2026-06-07 | -17.07 | $56.60 | +5.33% | +2.05% | +7.23% | +24.96% | +24.68% | +49.17% |
| 2026-02-24 | -15.42 | $26.46 | +2.83% | +6.60% | +24.23% | +31.01% | +52.42% | +137.35% |
| 2026-02-12 | -16.89 | $29.45 | +5.78% | +8.26% | -2.58% | -5.21% | +23.86% | +36.65% |
| 2026-01-21 | -18.38 | $21.09 | +2.51% | +7.66% | +45.94% | +54.19% | +37.86% | +93.05% |
| 2025-12-21 | -19.07 | $23.99 | +3.19% | -0.13% | +8.27% | +5.71% | -0.90% | +65.04% |
| 2025-12-18 | -15.26 | $24.47 | -7.93% | -1.97% | +2.82% | +3.96% | +2.64% | +68.51% |
| 2025-12-10 | -17.50 | $27.95 | +3.33% | +2.37% | -4.17% | -14.27% | -8.14% | +24.02% |
| 2025-11-23 | -22.23 | $29.99 | +6.04% | +12.50% | +14.69% | +3.21% | -17.12% | +1.40% |
| 2025-11-07 | -15.17 | $38.55 | +9.54% | +8.25% | +0.08% | -2.42% | -19.71% | -8.08% |
| 2025-11-05 | -18.07 | $39.14 | +5.59% | +7.89% | -1.25% | -1.15% | -14.23% | -15.03% |
| 2025-10-16 | -19.53 | $37.41 | -1.70% | -1.42% | -3.04% | +28.21% | +0.26% | -30.92% |
| 2025-10-11 | -22.98 | $38.12 | -3.20% | +11.42% | -6.95% | +3.17% | +9.47% | -32.65% |
| 2025-09-24 | -17.96 | $44.64 | +2.07% | +0.46% | +1.39% | +1.15% | -10.03% | -44.33% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-21: +45.94%
- 2026-06-10: +27.35%
- 2026-02-24: +24.23%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-11: -6.95%
- 2025-12-10: -4.17%
- 2025-10-16: -3.04%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.