Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 15% Seven-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 15% seven-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
15 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $44.6392 | $45.2580 | +1.39% | 101.39 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $38.1168 | $35.4686 | -6.95% | 94.34 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $39.1353 | $38.6465 | -1.25% | 93.16 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2025-11-30 | $29.9865 | $34.3910 | +14.69% | 106.85 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $27.9467 | $26.7802 | -4.17% | 102.39 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $24.4726 | $25.1616 | +2.82% | 105.27 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $21.0921 | $30.7818 | +45.94% | 153.63 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-19 | $29.4475 | $28.6867 | -2.58% | 149.66 |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-03-03 | $26.4557 | $32.8655 | +24.23% | 185.93 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026-06-14 | $56.5968 | $60.6895 | +7.23% | 199.37 |
| 2026-06-24 | 2026-07-01 | $62.1166 | $64.9679 | +4.59% | 208.52 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology