Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -11.4% to -7.6% | 2 |
| -7.6% to -3.8% | 2 |
| -3.8% to +0.1% | 7 |
| +0.1% to +3.9% | 3 |
| +3.9% to +7.8% | 3 |
| +7.8% to +11.6% | 1 |
| +11.6% to +15.5% | 0 |
| +15.5% to +19.3% | 0 |
| +19.3% to +23.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 1.59 | $87.95 | -3.19% | -4.99% | -12.05% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 4.23 | $69.60 | +5.82% | +14.20% | +18.24% | +17.69% | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 2.27 | $73.56 | -3.32% | -4.46% | -15.55% | -11.68% | -17.50% | +9.22% |
| 2026-05-18 | 1.68 | $45.69 | +4.42% | +19.85% | +37.43% | +57.65% | +60.99% | +24.46% |
| 2026-05-15 | 2.19 | $44.16 | +0.01% | +3.47% | +32.68% | +39.44% | +37.43% | +26.89% |
| 2026-05-06 | 1.51 | $43.72 | -1.41% | -1.08% | -7.97% | +9.93% | +47.21% | +23.42% |
| 2026-04-14 | 1.54 | $44.41 | -1.84% | -1.22% | -8.31% | -6.22% | -12.60% | +51.54% |
| 2026-03-24 | 1.54 | $37.37 | +7.93% | +4.82% | -1.45% | -2.88% | +10.13% | +79.16% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.32 | $40.77 | +1.15% | -3.59% | -8.33% | -9.66% | +9.60% | +56.70% |
| 2026-03-12 | 1.62 | $36.25 | +2.76% | +4.40% | +16.07% | +11.24% | +14.75% | +59.34% |
| 2026-03-10 | 2.17 | $34.66 | +0.09% | +7.47% | +17.63% | +7.83% | +11.70% | +72.00% |
| 2026-01-27 | 1.82 | $24.99 | +23.15% | +22.98% | +33.04% | +25.44% | +11.67% | +70.05% |
| 2026-01-21 | 1.62 | $21.09 | +2.51% | +7.66% | +45.94% | +54.19% | +37.86% | +93.05% |
| 2026-01-07 | 1.62 | $28.22 | -4.92% | -11.02% | -8.43% | -25.26% | +16.97% | +28.62% |
| 2025-12-18 | 1.61 | $24.47 | -7.93% | -1.97% | +2.82% | +3.96% | +2.64% | +68.51% |
| 2025-11-22 | 1.85 | $33.86 | -11.44% | -0.34% | +3.05% | -8.50% | -26.90% | -14.13% |
| 2025-11-05 | 1.82 | $39.14 | +5.59% | +7.89% | -1.25% | -1.15% | -14.23% | -15.03% |
| 2025-10-31 | 1.69 | $45.44 | -4.07% | -6.52% | -15.17% | -15.09% | -24.31% | -24.56% |
| 2025-10-11 | 1.91 | $38.12 | -3.20% | +11.42% | -6.95% | +3.17% | +9.47% | -32.65% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-21: +45.94%
- 2026-05-18: +37.43%
- 2026-01-27: +33.04%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-17: -15.55%
- 2025-10-31: -15.17%
- 2026-09-07: -12.05%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.