Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
19 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $38.1168 | $35.4686 | -6.95% | 93.05 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-07 | $45.4380 | $38.5466 | -15.17% | 78.94 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $33.8616 | $34.8943 | +3.05% | 81.35 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $24.4726 | $25.1616 | +2.82% | 83.64 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $28.2188 | $25.8407 | -8.43% | 76.59 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $21.0921 | $30.7818 | +45.94% | 111.77 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-17 | $34.6599 | $40.7693 | +17.63% | 131.48 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $40.7693 | $37.3734 | -8.33% | 120.52 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $37.3734 | $36.8313 | -1.45% | 118.78 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-21 | $44.4119 | $40.7192 | -8.31% | 108.90 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-13 | $43.7239 | $40.2389 | -7.97% | 100.22 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $44.1587 | $58.5893 | +32.68% | 132.97 |
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-24 | $73.5566 | $62.1166 | -15.55% | 112.29 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $69.6037 | $82.2983 | +18.24% | 132.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | 2026-09-14 | $87.9519 | $77.3564 | -12.05% | 116.78 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology