Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin When Bitcoin Rises 5% in a Day?
Dogecoin has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.88% and 42.9% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -8.2% to -4.8% | 2 |
| -4.8% to -1.3% | 2 |
| -1.3% to +2.1% | 0 |
| +2.1% to +5.5% | 2 |
| +5.5% to +8.9% | 0 |
| +8.9% to +12.3% | 0 |
| +12.3% to +15.8% | 0 |
| +15.8% to +19.2% | 0 |
| +19.2% to +22.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 7 | -1.11% | -0.27% | 42.9% | 7.27% | -5.42% |
| 3 days | 7 | -2.06% | 1.49% | 42.9% | 22.61% | -8.18% |
| 7 days | 7 | -0.88% | 0.67% | 42.9% | 16.91% | -6.47% |
| 14 days | 6 | -0.68% | -0.87% | 50.0% | 8.95% | -9.72% |
| 30 days | 5 | -8.46% | -4.11% | 20.0% | 19.65% | -13.07% |
| 90 days | 5 | -6.81% | -11.13% | 20.0% | 9.69% | -35.43% |
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 5.13 | $0.09 | -3.44% | +3.47% | -5.62% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 7.12 | $0.07 | +7.27% | +22.61% | +16.91% | +8.95% | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | 5.41 | $0.09 | -1.11% | +5.44% | +1.18% | +5.14% | +19.65% | -22.78% |
| 2026-03-05 | 6.54 | $0.10 | -5.42% | -8.18% | -6.47% | -3.86% | -7.61% | -6.81% |
| 2026-02-26 | 5.89 | $0.10 | -3.53% | -6.50% | -1.88% | -8.23% | -11.05% | -0.35% |
| 2026-02-07 | 11.94 | $0.10 | +0.26% | -2.06% | -0.88% | +2.49% | -8.46% | +9.69% |
| 2025-12-03 | 5.81 | $0.15 | +4.10% | -4.34% | +1.49% | -9.72% | -13.07% | -35.43% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +16.91%
- 2025-12-03: +1.49%
- 2026-04-14: +1.18%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-03-05: -6.47%
- 2026-09-04: -5.62%
- 2026-02-26: -1.88%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.