Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Dogecoin has recorded 39 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.96% and 38.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -7.9% to -5.7% | 2 |
| -5.7% to -3.5% | 5 |
| -3.5% to -1.3% | 8 |
| -1.3% to +0.9% | 15 |
| +0.9% to +3.1% | 4 |
| +3.1% to +5.3% | 2 |
| +5.3% to +7.5% | 0 |
| +7.5% to +9.7% | 1 |
| +9.7% to +12.0% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 39 | -0.73% | -0.10% | 38.5% | 11.95% | -7.92% |
| 3 days | 39 | 0.45% | -0.38% | 51.3% | 10.33% | -11.03% |
| 7 days | 39 | -1.96% | -1.87% | 38.5% | 23.72% | -24.70% |
| 14 days | 39 | -2.53% | -2.00% | 38.5% | 16.57% | -20.30% |
| 30 days | 39 | -1.88% | -2.98% | 46.2% | 29.95% | -27.56% |
| 90 days | 33 | -17.72% | -14.88% | 24.2% | 26.84% | -39.63% |
Historical occurrences
39 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | -0.00 | $0.07 | +0.85% | +0.45% | +1.59% | +16.57% | +29.95% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | -0.00 | $0.07 | +0.70% | -1.40% | -0.12% | -0.65% | +21.62% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -0.01 | $0.07 | -5.20% | -1.75% | -3.96% | -4.07% | +25.44% | — |
| 2026-07-13 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -1.06% | +1.85% | -0.46% | +0.86% | -1.18% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -0.00 | $0.07 | -1.79% | -3.25% | +4.28% | -1.66% | -5.49% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | -0.00 | $0.08 | -4.31% | -9.13% | -10.99% | -6.99% | -11.41% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -7.92% | -2.57% | -2.83% | -5.69% | -12.31% | -7.66% |
| 2026-05-19 | -0.00 | $0.10 | -1.73% | +0.78% | -2.53% | -3.57% | -17.98% | -33.58% |
| 2026-05-15 | -0.01 | $0.12 | -1.77% | -5.58% | -8.53% | -13.74% | -23.84% | -39.63% |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.01 | $0.11 | -4.11% | -3.31% | +0.14% | -7.91% | -27.56% | -37.75% |
| 2026-04-19 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -1.80% | +0.45% | +3.43% | +14.49% | +10.46% | -23.47% |
| 2026-04-13 | -0.01 | $0.09 | +3.53% | +4.47% | +2.35% | +9.14% | +21.05% | -19.52% |
| 2026-04-07 | -0.00 | $0.09 | +5.08% | +2.25% | +3.78% | +5.00% | +24.00% | -14.24% |
| 2026-03-30 | -0.00 | $0.09 | +0.28% | +2.12% | +2.99% | +0.55% | +9.85% | -17.72% |
| 2026-03-27 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -2.59% | -2.23% | -1.97% | +0.29% | +5.97% | -17.71% |
| 2026-03-22 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -0.43% | +4.58% | -0.77% | +0.96% | +3.95% | -8.93% |
| 2026-03-20 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -0.19% | -3.29% | -1.96% | -3.89% | +0.46% | -8.99% |
| 2026-03-12 | -0.00 | $0.09 | +2.46% | +4.14% | +2.79% | +4.07% | +0.88% | -8.83% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.01 | $0.09 | -0.73% | -0.89% | +4.55% | +2.43% | +1.32% | -3.74% |
| 2026-03-04 | -0.02 | $0.09 | +9.68% | +1.45% | +4.62% | +11.20% | +0.06% | +11.40% |
| 2026-02-27 | -0.00 | $0.10 | -3.63% | -5.22% | -3.80% | -2.53% | -6.95% | +2.68% |
| 2026-02-21 | -0.00 | $0.10 | -0.99% | -6.89% | -6.56% | -8.79% | -9.48% | +4.68% |
| 2026-02-16 | -0.01 | $0.10 | -1.34% | -3.43% | -8.88% | -10.02% | -2.10% | +6.23% |
| 2026-02-11 | -0.00 | $0.09 | -1.10% | +4.95% | +9.19% | -0.59% | +2.55% | +19.71% |
| 2026-02-09 | -0.01 | $0.10 | -1.15% | -5.72% | +5.65% | -3.73% | -2.70% | +11.64% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-30: +23.72%
- 2026-02-11: +9.19%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -24.70%
- 2025-10-29: -16.08%
- 2026-01-26: -12.57%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.