Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
BNB has recorded 31 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.35% and 74.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -34.5% to -29.5% | 3 |
| -29.5% to -24.5% | 2 |
| -24.5% to -19.4% | 1 |
| -19.4% to -14.4% | 2 |
| -14.4% to -9.3% | 3 |
| -9.3% to -4.3% | 5 |
| -4.3% to +0.7% | 2 |
| +0.7% to +5.8% | 1 |
| +5.8% to +10.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 31 | 1.10% | 1.40% | 71.0% | 11.95% | -6.54% |
| 3 days | 31 | 2.59% | 2.06% | 80.6% | 11.36% | -12.75% |
| 7 days | 31 | 2.35% | 2.76% | 74.2% | 17.54% | -13.08% |
| 14 days | 30 | 4.08% | 4.59% | 70.0% | 31.20% | -10.79% |
| 30 days | 29 | 4.95% | 3.85% | 72.4% | 42.70% | -32.74% |
| 90 days | 20 | -10.14% | -13.10% | 10.0% | 10.83% | -34.55% |
Historical occurrences
31 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 0.01 | $688.23 | +5.35% | +11.36% | +5.00% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.02 | $627.05 | +4.39% | +10.89% | +12.83% | +9.76% | — | — |
| 2026-08-09 | 0.01 | $600.33 | +0.25% | +2.66% | +1.15% | +15.83% | +23.21% | — |
| 2026-08-03 | 0.02 | $587.82 | +0.16% | +0.94% | +2.39% | +2.49% | +16.14% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.01 | $571.39 | +3.55% | +0.58% | +3.84% | +6.71% | +20.99% | — |
| 2026-07-26 | 0.01 | $568.49 | +1.10% | +0.40% | +1.10% | +5.60% | +23.85% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.01 | $570.62 | +0.52% | -0.64% | -0.86% | +3.18% | +9.89% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 0.01 | $581.35 | -0.22% | -2.34% | -1.34% | -1.82% | +4.95% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | 0.01 | $574.54 | -0.15% | +1.18% | -0.74% | -1.05% | +4.19% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.01 | $568.19 | +0.03% | +1.12% | +2.09% | +0.45% | +4.22% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 0.01 | $549.95 | +1.49% | +4.51% | +3.32% | +5.48% | +6.64% | — |
| 2026-06-02 | 0.01 | $692.06 | -6.04% | -12.75% | -13.08% | -10.79% | -20.53% | -1.10% |
| 2026-05-30 | 0.01 | $642.48 | +11.95% | +7.72% | -10.97% | -6.07% | -14.33% | +10.83% |
| 2026-05-15 | 0.01 | $678.03 | -0.87% | -4.27% | -3.06% | -5.96% | -10.13% | -10.07% |
| 2026-05-12 | 0.02 | $670.31 | -0.82% | +1.15% | -4.06% | -1.12% | -12.55% | -10.21% |
| 2026-05-09 | 0.01 | $649.25 | +0.08% | +3.24% | +3.53% | +0.11% | -6.98% | -8.86% |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.01 | $617.06 | +0.89% | +5.00% | +7.52% | +5.19% | +5.38% | -6.86% |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.01 | $623.21 | +2.10% | +1.09% | +2.35% | -0.97% | +7.85% | -6.72% |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.02 | $615.96 | -0.22% | +3.30% | +2.18% | +1.79% | +9.00% | -6.86% |
| 2026-04-08 | 0.01 | $621.12 | -3.26% | -2.46% | -1.05% | +1.70% | +2.57% | -5.73% |
| 2026-01-13 | 0.01 | $904.59 | +4.28% | +2.86% | +2.02% | -2.94% | -32.74% | -34.55% |
| 2026-01-10 | 0.01 | $896.35 | +1.13% | +0.92% | +4.56% | -0.68% | -28.59% | -32.69% |
| 2026-01-03 | 0.01 | $881.42 | -0.37% | +3.26% | +1.69% | +6.33% | -14.00% | -33.73% |
| 2025-12-28 | 0.01 | $844.98 | +1.64% | +1.90% | +3.92% | +7.28% | +3.91% | -27.50% |
| 2025-11-24 | 0.01 | $842.74 | +2.58% | +5.86% | +3.89% | +6.17% | +0.20% | -25.75% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-29: +17.54%
- 2025-10-03: +15.07%
- 2026-08-20: +12.83%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-02: -13.08%
- 2026-05-30: -10.97%
- 2026-05-12: -4.06%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.