Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After Funding Falls to -0.01%?
BNB has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.41% and 22.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -6.4% to -5.5% | 1 |
| -5.5% to -4.7% | 0 |
| -4.7% to -3.8% | 0 |
| -3.8% to -2.9% | 1 |
| -2.9% to -2.1% | 0 |
| -2.1% to -1.2% | 1 |
| -1.2% to -0.3% | 3 |
| -0.3% to +0.5% | 1 |
| +0.5% to +1.4% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | -0.67% | -1.15% | 33.3% | 1.40% | -6.41% |
| 3 days | 9 | -3.07% | -2.49% | 33.3% | 4.85% | -10.67% |
| 7 days | 9 | -4.41% | -5.26% | 22.2% | 4.34% | -14.82% |
| 14 days | 9 | -12.67% | -11.02% | 0.0% | -2.40% | -15.78% |
| 30 days | 9 | -18.61% | -17.49% | 0.0% | -1.43% | -26.51% |
| 90 days | 9 | -17.26% | -19.81% | 0.0% | -5.97% | -35.07% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | -0.01 | $639.15 | +0.47% | -1.97% | -1.73% | -8.62% | -1.43% | -5.97% |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.02 | $996.16 | -0.43% | -4.29% | -7.04% | -15.40% | -9.92% | -35.07% |
| 2025-10-31 | -0.03 | $1077.74 | +0.91% | +0.54% | -11.90% | -14.22% | -18.98% | -16.30% |
| 2025-10-28 | -0.01 | $1138.23 | -3.08% | -5.31% | -12.79% | -12.86% | -21.62% | -24.09% |
| 2025-10-24 | -0.02 | $1127.48 | -1.68% | +0.94% | -4.41% | -15.78% | -26.10% | -21.70% |
| 2025-10-22 | -0.01 | $1057.26 | +1.40% | +4.85% | +4.34% | -11.37% | -18.11% | -12.71% |
| 2025-10-20 | -0.02 | $1110.16 | -0.82% | -3.43% | +2.52% | -2.40% | -16.17% | -14.76% |
| 2025-10-17 | -0.02 | $1145.37 | -6.41% | -3.07% | -1.56% | -5.90% | -18.61% | -17.26% |
| 2025-10-13 | -0.03 | $1303.27 | -0.67% | -10.67% | -14.82% | -12.67% | -26.51% | -30.44% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-22: +4.34%
- 2025-10-20: +2.52%
- 2025-10-17: -1.56%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-13: -14.82%
- 2025-10-28: -12.79%
- 2025-10-31: -11.90%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or below -0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.