Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for BNB

9 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate20.0%
Average return / trade-6.77%
Compounded total return-30.43%
Max drawdown-30.43%
Buy & hold, same period-51.81%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-13 2025-10-20 $1303.2674 $1110.1648 -14.82% 85.18
2025-10-20 2025-10-27 $1110.1648 $1138.1268 +2.52% 87.33
2025-10-28 2025-11-04 $1138.2326 $992.6566 -12.79% 76.16
2025-11-10 2025-11-17 $996.1572 $926.0490 -7.04% 70.80
2026-03-20 2026-03-27 $639.1520 $628.0751 -1.73% 69.57

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for BNB ยท Read the full methodology