Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 44 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.84% and 40.9% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.8% to -10.6% | 3 |
| -10.6% to -7.5% | 0 |
| -7.5% to -4.3% | 7 |
| -4.3% to -1.2% | 16 |
| -1.2% to +2.0% | 6 |
| +2.0% to +5.2% | 8 |
| +5.2% to +8.3% | 2 |
| +8.3% to +11.5% | 2 |
| +11.5% to +14.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 46 | -0.49% | -0.78% | 39.1% | 8.39% | -14.49% |
| 3 days | 45 | -2.26% | -1.20% | 33.3% | 14.61% | -13.77% |
| 7 days | 44 | -1.84% | -2.09% | 40.9% | 20.89% | -18.20% |
| 14 days | 44 | 0.73% | -1.11% | 50.0% | 26.49% | -27.07% |
| 30 days | 44 | -1.48% | -2.12% | 38.6% | 31.00% | -56.83% |
| 90 days | 37 | -19.96% | -19.55% | 29.7% | 26.66% | -59.19% |
Historical occurrences
46 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -0.01 | $220.96 | +1.07% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -0.03 | $223.84 | +1.91% | -1.28% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | -0.02 | $212.48 | -2.83% | -4.22% | +0.37% | +26.49% | +7.36% | — |
| 2026-08-07 | -0.00 | $212.58 | +0.98% | +0.93% | -2.87% | +4.90% | +20.56% | — |
| 2026-07-26 | -0.01 | $209.66 | +3.43% | +2.13% | -0.83% | +3.03% | +29.16% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -0.01 | $219.92 | -3.68% | -4.67% | -3.98% | -2.49% | +31.00% | — |
| 2026-07-20 | -0.01 | $215.10 | +2.19% | +2.24% | +0.82% | -1.21% | -5.39% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | -0.00 | $243.94 | -1.56% | -3.01% | -9.78% | -14.05% | -12.64% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -0.01 | $195.27 | -2.36% | +2.27% | +20.89% | +24.92% | +8.39% | — |
| 2026-06-16 | -0.00 | $224.46 | -4.69% | -11.12% | -12.11% | -10.53% | -0.62% | -1.56% |
| 2026-06-05 | -0.00 | $245.35 | -14.49% | -6.20% | -16.39% | -18.69% | -3.79% | -0.34% |
| 2026-05-17 | -0.00 | $415.98 | -2.45% | -11.00% | -14.48% | -27.07% | -46.04% | -50.80% |
| 2026-05-12 | -0.01 | $450.29 | -2.37% | -3.42% | -15.97% | -21.83% | -56.83% | -52.35% |
| 2026-05-08 | -0.00 | $450.56 | +0.01% | +2.92% | -3.48% | -15.57% | -51.77% | -52.40% |
| 2026-04-12 | -0.01 | $438.35 | -3.65% | -0.35% | +1.33% | +3.47% | +2.72% | -44.10% |
| 2026-04-03 | -0.01 | $445.34 | -0.37% | -3.14% | -0.42% | +2.18% | +0.16% | -52.86% |
| 2026-03-28 | -0.03 | $472.55 | +1.73% | -2.65% | -6.11% | -6.05% | -3.68% | -59.19% |
| 2026-03-25 | -0.00 | $480.37 | -0.61% | -1.63% | -3.01% | -7.12% | -4.08% | -58.94% |
| 2026-03-18 | -0.00 | $474.77 | -3.15% | -0.14% | +1.18% | -1.86% | -4.16% | -52.72% |
| 2026-03-11 | -0.02 | $449.92 | +1.23% | +2.70% | +5.52% | +6.77% | -1.44% | -53.47% |
| 2026-03-01 | -0.03 | $461.25 | -3.36% | -2.75% | -1.26% | +1.77% | -0.27% | -34.49% |
| 2026-02-27 | -0.01 | $480.88 | -3.33% | -7.30% | -3.48% | -4.44% | -0.03% | -30.36% |
| 2026-02-24 | -0.00 | $498.47 | -2.46% | -3.53% | -10.08% | -9.94% | -4.22% | -30.34% |
| 2026-02-22 | -0.01 | $563.84 | -3.77% | -13.77% | -18.20% | -19.23% | -14.75% | -35.94% |
| 2026-02-18 | -0.00 | $563.77 | -0.96% | -0.24% | -13.76% | -20.43% | -18.48% | -32.89% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-28: +20.89%
- 2025-11-20: +11.96%
- 2025-11-17: +11.62%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-22: -18.20%
- 2026-01-30: -17.40%
- 2026-06-05: -16.39%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded at the 3rd consecutive negative funding interval. A longer uninterrupted run remains one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.