Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
46 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 31 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (15 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-30 | $567.5095 | $560.8093 | -1.18% | 98.82 |
| 2025-10-03 | 2025-10-10 | $594.5633 | $580.1343 | -2.43% | 96.42 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $499.5693 | $468.5359 | -6.21% | 90.43 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $557.8349 | $480.8460 | -13.80% | 77.95 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $480.8460 | $505.3135 | +5.09% | 81.92 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-19 | $505.3135 | $522.8133 | +3.46% | 84.75 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $485.7023 | $543.8084 | +11.96% | 94.89 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2025-12-04 | $543.8084 | $591.2305 | +8.72% | 103.17 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $591.2305 | $573.0033 | -3.08% | 99.99 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2025-12-28 | $592.2760 | $622.9931 | +5.19% | 105.17 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $599.3461 | $628.9685 | +4.94% | 110.37 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $641.8532 | $593.8955 | -7.47% | 102.13 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $594.7206 | $553.5130 | -6.93% | 95.05 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $508.0329 | $525.9742 | +3.53% | 98.41 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $563.7741 | $486.2023 | -13.76% | 84.87 |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-06 | $480.8812 | $464.1671 | -3.48% | 81.92 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026-03-18 | $449.9158 | $474.7712 | +5.52% | 86.44 |
| 2026-03-18 | 2026-03-25 | $474.7712 | $480.3738 | +1.18% | 87.46 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $480.3738 | $465.9229 | -3.01% | 84.83 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2026-04-10 | $445.3382 | $443.4456 | -0.42% | 84.47 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2026-04-19 | $438.3478 | $444.1892 | +1.33% | 85.60 |
| 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-15 | $450.5591 | $434.8927 | -3.48% | 82.62 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2026-05-24 | $415.9769 | $355.7552 | -14.48% | 70.66 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $245.3537 | $205.1507 | -16.39% | 59.08 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $224.4576 | $197.2654 | -12.11% | 51.92 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $195.2701 | $236.0590 | +20.89% | 62.77 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2026-07-19 | $243.9403 | $220.0783 | -9.78% | 56.63 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $215.1031 | $216.8652 | +0.82% | 57.09 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-08-14 | $212.5756 | $206.4683 | -2.87% | 55.45 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology