Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 17 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.82% and 58.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -47.3% to -39.9% | 2 |
| -39.9% to -32.4% | 0 |
| -32.4% to -25.0% | 0 |
| -25.0% to -17.6% | 0 |
| -17.6% to -10.2% | 2 |
| -10.2% to -2.7% | 5 |
| -2.7% to +4.7% | 2 |
| +4.7% to +12.1% | 3 |
| +12.1% to +19.6% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 19 | 1.10% | -0.09% | 57.9% | 13.54% | -10.46% |
| 3 days | 19 | 0.02% | 0.09% | 52.6% | 15.07% | -10.35% |
| 7 days | 17 | 0.82% | -0.75% | 58.8% | 18.23% | -27.39% |
| 14 days | 17 | 7.08% | 2.46% | 58.8% | 23.57% | -41.95% |
| 30 days | 16 | -4.81% | -4.74% | 31.2% | 19.55% | -47.28% |
| 90 days | 12 | 3.40% | -3.05% | 58.3% | 25.63% | -49.85% |
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | -11.68 | $226.36 | -2.38% | -4.25% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -12.77 | $223.84 | +1.91% | -1.28% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | -13.93 | $247.98 | -0.31% | -0.39% | +0.06% | -8.01% | — | — |
| 2026-07-20 | -10.43 | $215.10 | +2.19% | +2.24% | +0.82% | -1.21% | -5.39% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -10.31 | $219.79 | +0.13% | +0.02% | -4.13% | -4.54% | -7.27% | — |
| 2026-06-25 | -10.36 | $190.35 | +1.31% | +2.59% | +10.29% | +23.57% | +10.70% | — |
| 2026-06-23 | -12.11 | $197.27 | -1.43% | -2.24% | +1.80% | +22.58% | +11.49% | — |
| 2026-05-28 | -10.30 | $334.89 | -10.46% | -9.41% | -27.39% | -41.95% | -41.15% | -20.61% |
| 2026-05-18 | -12.49 | $405.79 | -6.76% | -7.99% | -14.43% | -25.43% | -47.28% | -49.85% |
| 2026-02-24 | -12.42 | $498.47 | -2.46% | -3.53% | -10.08% | -9.94% | -4.22% | -30.34% |
| 2026-02-06 | -17.40 | $458.44 | +13.54% | +15.07% | +10.08% | +22.05% | -0.66% | +1.63% |
| 2026-02-04 | -12.13 | $526.51 | +1.10% | -1.14% | -0.44% | +7.08% | -11.84% | -15.64% |
| 2026-02-01 | -14.32 | $508.03 | +1.81% | +3.64% | +3.53% | +10.75% | -11.77% | -11.26% |
| 2025-11-09 | -10.72 | $494.88 | +1.68% | +2.11% | +1.39% | +12.48% | +17.10% | +5.18% |
| 2025-11-05 | -13.80 | $480.85 | +1.72% | +6.76% | +5.09% | +8.73% | +19.55% | +12.32% |
| 2025-10-20 | -12.70 | $472.74 | +1.31% | +0.14% | +18.23% | +13.59% | +10.59% | +25.63% |
| 2025-10-16 | -10.42 | $522.63 | -3.53% | -10.35% | -9.42% | +6.41% | -8.10% | +17.92% |
| 2025-10-11 | -15.60 | $514.13 | -2.83% | +6.36% | -8.55% | -2.16% | -2.12% | +22.90% |
| 2025-09-26 | -13.86 | $538.33 | +1.80% | +3.37% | +10.45% | +7.77% | -5.53% | +5.56% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-20: +18.23%
- 2025-09-26: +10.45%
- 2026-06-25: +10.29%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-28: -27.39%
- 2026-05-18: -14.43%
- 2026-02-24: -10.08%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.