Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25?
Zcash has recorded 14 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 8.15% and 64.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -15.4% to -11.1% | 2 |
| -11.1% to -6.8% | 2 |
| -6.8% to -2.5% | 1 |
| -2.5% to +1.8% | 0 |
| +1.8% to +6.1% | 5 |
| +6.1% to +10.4% | 0 |
| +10.4% to +14.6% | 1 |
| +14.6% to +18.9% | 2 |
| +18.9% to +23.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 14 | -0.57% | -0.64% | 50.0% | 13.87% | -10.85% |
| 3 days | 14 | 4.00% | 2.82% | 64.3% | 23.22% | -15.40% |
| 7 days | 14 | 8.15% | 3.46% | 64.3% | 26.70% | -41.57% |
| 14 days | 14 | -2.63% | 6.17% | 42.9% | 68.39% | -42.56% |
| 30 days | 14 | -8.23% | 32.26% | 42.9% | 225.72% | -42.78% |
| 90 days | 11 | -10.70% | 4.78% | 36.4% | 118.40% | -54.51% |
Historical occurrences
14 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 25.00 | $483.02 | +4.66% | +3.92% | +2.63% | +6.40% | +68.79% | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 25.00 | $469.96 | -2.71% | +4.08% | +6.80% | +4.40% | +79.21% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 22.00 | $495.42 | +13.87% | +5.68% | +9.50% | -3.86% | -1.14% | — |
| 2026-05-24 | 25.00 | $630.48 | +5.13% | -9.63% | -16.22% | -42.56% | -29.94% | +16.33% |
| 2026-05-19 | 25.00 | $563.11 | +1.86% | +17.84% | +15.72% | -3.45% | -15.32% | -13.67% |
| 2026-01-30 | 16.00 | $353.01 | -3.66% | -13.54% | -41.57% | -34.00% | -37.59% | -7.29% |
| 2026-01-21 | 24.00 | $349.54 | +1.57% | +4.96% | +13.83% | -22.54% | -25.19% | -10.70% |
| 2026-01-10 | 25.00 | $417.43 | -10.43% | -2.74% | -1.73% | -12.11% | -42.78% | -11.93% |
| 2025-12-13 | 23.00 | $456.04 | -2.88% | -9.42% | -2.55% | -1.81% | -16.70% | -54.51% |
| 2025-12-06 | 23.00 | $359.95 | -5.07% | +12.55% | +26.70% | +23.46% | +39.81% | -37.20% |
| 2025-11-04 | 21.00 | $432.01 | +2.61% | +23.22% | +21.08% | +42.04% | -21.51% | -29.35% |
| 2025-10-22 | 25.00 | $263.25 | -9.41% | +2.78% | +20.02% | +68.39% | +149.87% | +40.05% |
| 2025-10-17 | 22.00 | $204.53 | +6.29% | +15.16% | +18.86% | +68.14% | +225.72% | +118.40% |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.00 | $293.10 | -10.85% | -15.40% | -24.60% | -6.07% | +78.47% | +42.42% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-06: +26.70%
- 2025-11-04: +21.08%
- 2025-10-22: +20.02%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -41.57%
- 2025-10-12: -24.60%
- 2026-05-24: -16.22%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.